SERES(601127) 光大证券·2025-05-02 05:15Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, citing strong order performance for the Wanjie M8 model as a key factor for the rating adjustment [4]. Core Viewpoints - The company is expected to achieve robust performance in 2024, with a projected revenue growth of 305.0% year-on-year to 145.18 billion yuan and a return to profitability with a net profit of 5.95 billion yuan, compared to a loss of 2.45 billion yuan in 2023 [1][5]. - The first quarter of 2025 shows a decline in sales due to seasonal factors and model transitions, but the gross margin remains strong at 27.6%, benefiting from the increasing sales proportion of high-end models like the Wanjie M9 [2][3]. - The company is initiating a Hong Kong stock listing to support its global expansion, with funds aimed at enhancing R&D, diversifying marketing channels, and improving operational efficiency [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company’s revenue is expected to reach 145.18 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 305.0%. The net profit is projected at 5.95 billion yuan, recovering from a loss of 2.45 billion yuan in 2023 [1][5]. - For 1Q25, revenue is forecasted to decline by 27.9% year-on-year to 19.15 billion yuan, while net profit is expected to increase by 240.6% year-on-year to 750 million yuan [1]. Sales and Market Position - The company’s vehicle sales in 2024 are projected to grow by 97.0% to 497,000 units, with the Wanjie model sales increasing by 281.3% to 386,000 units [2]. - The first quarter of 2025 shows a significant decline in sales, with a 40.1% year-on-year drop to 68,000 units, attributed to the transition between old and new models [2]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on production, R&D, and channel development, with plans to enhance smart manufacturing and expand its global footprint through a Hong Kong listing [3]. - The funds raised from the Hong Kong listing will be used for R&D in new models and technologies, as well as for operational expenses and marketing [3].