FAW Jiefang(SZ:000800) Soochow Securities·2025-05-02 10:23Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance is under pressure, with a focus on waiting for demand recovery [1] - The company reported a total revenue of 14.34 billion yuan in Q1 2025, showing a year-on-year decrease of 24.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.7% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for Q1 2025 was 29 million yuan, down 83.4% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The heavy-duty truck sales showed a quarter-on-quarter increase, but the estimated revenue per vehicle declined [1] - The company is expected to benefit from the policy encouraging the replacement of old trucks, with domestic sales projected to reach 700,000 units or more in 2025, a year-on-year increase of over 16% [1] - The report anticipates a recovery in the heavy truck industry, with the company positioned to leverage its scale and cost-efficiency [1] Financial Summary - The company forecasts total revenue of 67.37 billion yuan for 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 15% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 722 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.15 yuan, with a corresponding P/E ratio of 49.09 [1] - The company's price-to-book (P/B) ratio is currently at 1.34, indicating a historically low valuation [1] - The report has adjusted the net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 720 million yuan and 1.02 billion yuan, respectively [1]