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圣农发展(002299):优价降本护航,业绩逆势增长

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 4.115 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 2.4%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders reached 148 million yuan, a significant increase of 338.3% year-on-year [1] - The chicken segment showed resilience with sales of 303,000 tons, up 3.1% year-on-year, despite a decline in average selling price by 4% to 9,759 yuan per ton [2] - The company has successfully managed costs, achieving a 10% reduction in comprehensive meat production costs compared to the same period in 2024, aided by the self-developed breed "Shengze 901Plus" [2] - The C-end business experienced rapid growth, with retail sales exceeding 30% year-on-year growth, despite overall pressure in the retail sector [3] - The company expects net profits to reach 990 million yuan, 1.06 billion yuan, and 1.21 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 37.1%, 6.8%, and 13.8% [3] Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve a revenue of 21.232 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 14.2% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 993 million yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 37.1% [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.80 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20.7x [5]