圣农发展：优价降本护航，业绩逆势增长-20250503

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 4.115 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 2.4%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders reached 148 million yuan, a significant increase of 338.3% year-on-year [1] - The chicken segment showed resilience with sales of 303,000 tons, up 3.1% year-on-year, despite a decline in average selling price by 4% to 9,759 yuan per ton [2] - The company has successfully optimized its customer and channel structure, maintaining a price premium of 630 yuan per ton over the industry average for two consecutive quarters [2] - Cost control measures have led to a 10% reduction in comprehensive meat production costs compared to the same period in 2024, contributing to profitability in the chicken segment [2] - The deep processing food business generated 1.89 billion yuan in revenue, a slight decrease of 1.7% year-on-year, but the C-end retail sector experienced over 30% growth [3] - Investment income increased by 203.4% to 30 million yuan, primarily due to strong performance from the joint venture, Sun Valley [3] - The company expects net profits of 990 million yuan, 1.06 billion yuan, and 1.21 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 37.1%, 6.8%, and 13.8% [3] Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve a revenue of 21.232 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 14.2% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 993 million yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 37.1% [5] - The latest diluted EPS is forecasted to be 0.80 yuan per share for 2025 [5] - The company maintains a P/E ratio of 20.7 for 2025, indicating a favorable valuation [5]