Beijing Caishikou Department Store (605599) Tianfeng Securities·2025-05-03 03:23Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4][8][20] Core Views - The company reported strong performance in Q1 2025, with revenue of 82.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30.2%, and a net profit of 3.2 billion yuan, up 17.3% year-on-year. This growth is attributed to the high demand for gold and jewelry in Beijing, where the company has a significant market presence [1][4] - The company benefits from a high proportion of precious metal investment products, which saw a strong demand in Q1 2025 due to rising gold prices [1][4] Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company expects revenue of 202 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 22.2%, and a net profit of 7.2 billion yuan, up 1.7% year-on-year [1] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 7.20 yuan per 10 shares for 2024, with a dividend payout ratio of 77.9% [2] - In 2024, the revenue from precious metal investment products grew by 45.3%, while revenue from gold jewelry decreased by 11.1% [3] - The company opened 20 new direct stores in 2024, with a net increase of 13 stores, and plans to open 3 more in Q2 2025 [3] - The gross margin for 2024 is projected to be 8.9%, a decrease of 1.7 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin is expected to be 3.6%, down 0.7 percentage points year-on-year [3] Earnings Forecast - The company forecasts net profits of 7.9 billion yuan, 8.9 billion yuan, and 9.8 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 14, 12, and 11 [4][6]