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恒立液压:线性驱动器项目批量生产,持续看好公司中长期成长-20250504

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a 6-month outlook maintained [6][17]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 9.39 billion yuan in 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 4.51%, and a record high in revenue [1]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024 was 2.51 billion yuan, reflecting a slight increase of 0.4% year-on-year, driven by market share gains in hydraulic pump and valve products, as well as growth in non-engineering machinery products and overseas market expansion [1][2]. - The company is advancing its electrification strategy and has commenced mass production of linear actuators, which is expected to become a new growth driver [3]. - The company is actively expanding its international and diversified operations, with overseas revenue growing by 7.61% year-on-year in 2024 [4]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a gross margin of 42.83%, an increase of 0.93 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 26.76%, a decrease of 1.11 percentage points [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.42 billion yuan, up 2.56% year-on-year, and a net profit of 618 million yuan, reflecting a 2.61% increase [2]. - The company forecasts net profits of 2.77 billion yuan, 3.31 billion yuan, and 3.90 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 36, 30, and 26 [4][5]. Product Performance - The revenue breakdown for 2024 shows hydraulic cylinders at 4.76 billion yuan, hydraulic pumps and valves at 3.58 billion yuan, hydraulic systems at 296 million yuan, and parts and castings at 684 million yuan, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 1.44%, 9.63%, 1.64%, and 1.76% [2].