SDDSC(SZ:002041) Guoxin Securities·2025-05-04 05:05Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Views - The company's sales are under pressure due to a decline in corn prices and oversupply of corn seeds, leading to a significant drop in revenue and net profit for Q4 2024 [1][8] - The company has a strong reserve of high-quality corn varieties and is expected to benefit from the commercialization of genetically modified corn in the future [3][22] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 1.246 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 19.74%, with Q4 revenue at 667 million yuan, down 25.70% [1][8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024 was 57 million yuan, a decline of 77.86%, with Q4 showing a net loss of 2 million yuan, down 101.22% [1][8] - The gross margin for 2024 decreased by 0.64 percentage points to 28.13%, and the net margin fell by 12.56 percentage points to 6.72% [2][14] Sales and Revenue Breakdown - Corn seed revenue in 2024 was 1.073 billion yuan, down 20.78%, while other seeds such as wheat and rice also saw declines in revenue [2][25] - The company’s total revenue from all seeds was 1.246 billion yuan, with a significant drop in growth rate compared to previous years [25] Cost and Expenses - The total expense ratio increased to 19.04%, up 5.27 percentage points year-on-year, with sales, management, and R&D expenses all rising [2][14] - The company faced increased asset impairment losses, amounting to approximately 120 million yuan year-on-year [1][8] Cash Flow and Asset Management - Operating cash flow for 2024 was 128 million yuan, a decrease of 28.37%, with cash flow from operating activities as a percentage of revenue at 10.29% [3][20] - Inventory turnover days increased by 26.63% to 340.9 days, and accounts receivable turnover days rose by 49.29% to 12.60 days [3][20] Future Earnings Forecast - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been revised down to 110 million yuan and 141 million yuan, respectively, with an expected net profit of 176 million yuan in 2027 [22][26] - The projected earnings per share for the next three years are 0.13 yuan, 0.16 yuan, and 0.20 yuan [22][26]