Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing decline in pork prices, with the average price of live pigs at 12.64 CNY/kg, down 3.05% week-on-week, indicating a supply surplus in the market. However, upcoming festivals are expected to boost consumption and potentially stabilize prices [2][13] - The report emphasizes the importance of improving grain yield through advanced agricultural practices and technology, particularly in the context of food security and the promotion of genetically modified crops [1][12] Summary by Sections Planting Industry Chain - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs is focusing on enhancing grain yields through a comprehensive approach tailored to specific crops and regions. This includes promoting high-performance agricultural machinery and addressing storage issues in different regions [1][12] - Companies like Beidahuang and Suqian Agricultural Development are expected to benefit from these initiatives, along with seed companies such as Dabeinong and Longping High-Tech [1][12] Swine Farming - The current average price of live pigs is 12.64 CNY/kg, reflecting a significant decrease due to oversupply. A meeting was held to discuss reducing the breeding sow population by approximately 1 million to stabilize prices [2][13] - The report suggests that the swine industry will focus on quality improvement and efficiency, with a gradual elimination of outdated production capacity. Companies like Muyuan Foods and Wen's Foodstuffs are highlighted as key players to watch [2][5][13] Key Agricultural Product Data Tracking - Corn: The average price is 2360.47 CNY/ton, down 0.10% week-on-week [26] - Wheat: The average price is 2434.39 CNY/ton, up 0.23% week-on-week [29] - Soybeans: The average price is 4050.42 CNY/ton, up 0.17% week-on-week [38] - Cotton: The average price is 15090.00 CNY/ton, down 0.89% week-on-week [46] Feed and Vitamin Prices - The average price of pig feed is 2.68 CNY/kg, with no change week-on-week. Vitamin E prices have decreased by 7.84% to 51.70 CNY/kg [52][63]

Industry Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the agricultural sector [1] Core Insights - Global food prices showed structural increases in August 2025, with marginal declines in grain and dairy prices. The FAO reported an average global food price index of 130.1, remaining stable month-on-month but up 6.9% year-on-year [2][8] - Domestic grain prices are influenced by the new crop listings, with wheat and corn being closely monitored. The soybean market is affected by trade relations and biofuel policies [3] Summary by Sections Global Grain Price Analysis - The global grain price index averaged 105.6 in August 2025, down 0.8% month-on-month and 4.5% year-on-year, indicating ample supply and weak import sentiment [10] - The global corn price has risen for three consecutive months due to adverse weather affecting EU corn yields and increased demand for animal feed and ethanol processing in the US [10] Domestic Grain Price Analysis - The new season's wheat production is expected to be lower than anticipated, maintaining a supply surplus. The actual sowing area for winter wheat in 2025 is 33.9 million acres, a slight increase from the previous year [5][19] - The domestic corn market is projected to strengthen in the second half of 2025, with new corn listings expected to impact prices significantly [34][46] Investment Recommendations - Focus on seed companies due to their correlation with grain prices, with recommendations for companies like Longping High-Tech, Dabeinong, and Qianyuan High-Tech. The seed sector is currently at a low profitability point, awaiting a cyclical rebound [4] - In the grain and oil sector, attention should be paid to tariff price transmission for high-import-dependent varieties, with recommendations for companies like Suqian Agricultural Development and Beidahuang [4] - The agricultural water conservancy sector is expected to benefit from significant construction funding, with a recommendation for Dayu Water-saving [4] Supply and Demand Analysis - For wheat, the global production forecast for 2025/26 is 816 million tons, with a consumption increase of 11.4 million tons. The ending stock is projected at 264 million tons, reflecting a slight increase from the previous year [11] - The global corn production forecast for 2025/26 is 1.287 billion tons, with consumption rising by 31.4 million tons. The ending stock is expected to decrease to 281 million tons [11] - The global rice production is estimated at 541 million tons for 2025/26, with a consumption increase of 9.81 million tons, leading to a slight decrease in ending stocks [11] Domestic Supply and Demand Analysis - Domestic wheat production for 2025/26 is forecasted at 141.29 million tons, with a consumption increase of 2.4%. The import volume is expected to decrease significantly [20][23] - Domestic corn production is projected at 296.16 million tons, with consumption remaining stable. The import volume is expected to stay low, reflecting a tightening supply-demand balance [34][37] - Domestic rice production is expected to reach 208.58 million tons, with a slight increase in consumption. The rice market is projected to face downward pressure due to oversupply and changing consumption patterns [51][55]

证券日报网讯登海种业（002041）9月23日在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，截至9月20日公司股东人 数是66752户。 ...

Market Overview - The planting industry sector experienced a decline of 1.01% on September 22, with Xin Nong Development leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3828.58, up 0.22%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13157.97, up 0.67% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Key stocks in the planting industry showed varied performance, with the following notable changes: - Qianyin Gaoke (300087) closed at 60.6, up 0.78% with a trading volume of 203,500 shares and a transaction value of 185 million [1] - Denghai Liuyou (002041) closed at 9.35, down 0.32% with a trading volume of 49,500 shares [1] - Wanxiang Denong (600371) closed at 8.95, down 0.33% with a trading volume of 42,800 shares [1] - Su Kan Nong Fa (601952) closed at 9.49, down 0.42% with a trading volume of 52,900 shares [1] - Nuo Puxin (002215) closed at 13.28, down 0.45% with a trading volume of 283,400 shares and a transaction value of 375 million [1] - Dunhuang Seed Industry (600354) closed at 6.23, down 0.80% with a trading volume of 114,600 shares [1] - Honghui Lizhu (603336) closed at 9.84, down 0.81% with a trading volume of 181,800 shares and a transaction value of 178 million [1] - Longping High-Tech (000998) closed at 9.75, down 0.81% with a trading volume of 137,000 shares and a transaction value of 134 million [1] - Beidahuang (600598) closed at 14.37, down 0.83% with a trading volume of 124,300 shares and a transaction value of 179 million [1] - Hainan Rubber (601118) closed at 5.25, down 0.94% with a trading volume of 223,000 shares and a transaction value of 117 million [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The planting industry sector saw a net outflow of 104 million from main funds, while retail funds experienced a net inflow of 88.22 million [3] - Speculative funds recorded a net inflow of 16.12 million [3]

Group 1 - The genetically modified (GM) concept sector declined by 0.79% as of the market close on September 16, ranking among the top declines in concept sectors, with companies like Batian Co., KQ Biotech, and Dunhuang Seed Industry experiencing significant drops [1] - The GM concept sector saw a net outflow of 153 million yuan in main funds today, with 13 stocks experiencing net outflows, and 6 stocks seeing outflows exceeding 10 million yuan. The stock with the highest net outflow was Shennong Seed Industry, with a net outflow of 30.19 million yuan [2] - Other companies with notable net outflows included Dunhuang Seed Industry, Nongfa Seed Industry, and Jincheng Pharmaceutical, with net outflows of 23.78 million yuan, 22.76 million yuan, and 21.20 million yuan respectively [2] Group 2 - The top net inflow stocks in the GM concept sector included KQ Biotech and Guotou Fengle, with net inflows of 4.89 million yuan and 0.99 million yuan respectively [3] - The GM concept sector's outflow leaderboard featured Shennong Seed Industry, Dunhuang Seed Industry, Nongfa Seed Industry, and Jincheng Pharmaceutical, all showing negative performance in terms of stock price changes [2][3]

证券研究报告 | 行业专题研究 gszqdatemark 2025 09 10 年 月 日 种植业 种业专题报告二：行业向转基因、耐密高产方向转型 粮食安全，仍是国之根本。我国仍高度重视粮食安全问题，党中央将粮食 安全纳入国家安全大局，确立了"谷物基本自给，口粮绝对安全"新的国 家粮食安全观。我国粮食安全基础仍存在一些薄弱环节，一方面，在人多 地少、资源环境承载能力趋紧以及居民消费结构不断升级的形势下，我国 将长期维持粮食产需总量紧平衡的态势，且粮食结构性矛盾突出，玉米、 大豆等存在产需缺口，近几年我国粮食总进口逐年增加。另一方面，良种 紧缺，作物单产差距较大，1995 年我国玉米、大豆单产均约为美国的 70%， 2023 年我国玉米单产仅为美国的 58.72%，2022 年我国大豆单产为美国 的 59.41%，效率指标相较而言后退，且农药化肥等化学品投入红利渐逝， 粮食保障，需藏粮于技，藏粮于技需种业挺身而出。 国家提出实施粮食单产提升工程。趋势一：转基因生物育种带来行业变革。 转基因目前已经批准 161 个转基因玉米品种和 19 个转基因大豆品种，根 据 2024 年 10 月 29-31 日的福州种子双 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the profitability of the breeding chain is expected to see significant growth in H1 2025, with the pet sector maintaining its high prosperity [3][20] - The preliminary ruling on anti-dumping measures against EU pork imports is anticipated to drive domestic pork prices upward, presenting a good opportunity for investment in the pig farming sector [4][14] - The report emphasizes a dual driving force from both fundamental and policy aspects, suggesting that pig prices are likely to rise in H2 2025, improving the investment logic in the pig farming sector [20] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - The Ministry of Commerce has announced preliminary anti-dumping measures on EU pork imports, with a guarantee deposit rate ranging from 15.6% to 62.4% [4][13] - The domestic pork and pork offal import volume reached 1.15 million tons in H1 2025, with EU imports accounting for 52% [14][16] Market Performance (Sept 1 - Sept 5) - The agricultural index underperformed the market by 0.15 percentage points, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 1.18% and the agricultural index down 1.32% [6][24] - The pet food sector led the gains among sub-sectors, with notable increases in individual stocks such as Yuegui Co. (+13.19%) and Honghui Fruits (+9.23%) [6][24][29] Price Tracking (Sept 1 - Sept 5) - The average price of live pigs was 13.77 yuan/kg, up 0.11 yuan/kg from the previous week, while the average price of piglets was 25.4 yuan/kg, down 1.74 yuan/kg [7][35] - The price of corn futures increased by 1.46% to 2219.00 yuan/ton, and soybean meal futures rose by 1.60% to 2536.00 yuan/ton [47][48] Key News (Sept 1 - Sept 5) - The Ministry of Agriculture reported a 5.3% month-on-month increase in the slaughter volume of designated pig slaughtering enterprises in July 2025 [30] - The report indicates that the domestic pig farming sector is expected to benefit from the anti-dumping measures, leading to a potential increase in domestic pork prices [4][14] Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks in the pig farming sector include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and Juxing Agriculture [20] - In the feed sector, companies like Haida Group and New Hope Liuhe are recommended due to strong domestic and overseas demand [20][23]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [20] Core Views - The company is experiencing a decline in both revenue and profit due to low grain prices and abnormal weather conditions, with a projected revenue of 369 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 9.41%, and a net profit of 35 million yuan, down 33.42% year-on-year [4][9] - The corn seed business has been particularly affected, generating revenue of 338 million yuan, a decrease of 12.04% year-on-year, while the gross margin improved to 29.08%, an increase of 3.93 percentage points [10][12] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 369 million yuan, down 9.41% year-on-year, and a net profit of 35 million yuan, down 33.42% year-on-year [4][9] - The corn business revenue was 338 million yuan, a decrease of 12.04% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 29.08%, up 3.93 percentage points [10] Business Segments - The rice business achieved revenue of 9.328 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 53.50% - The vegetable seed business generated revenue of 9.9884 million yuan, down 6.98% year-on-year - The wheat business saw revenue of 3.0722 million yuan, a significant increase of 118.01% year-on-year [10] Research and Development - The company is actively investing in research and development, with an R&D expenditure of 43 million yuan in the first half of 2025, an increase of 13.72% year-on-year [11] - The company is advancing its biotechnology research center and has made significant progress in breeding and innovation, with six genetically modified corn varieties being promoted [11] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 1.29 billion yuan, 1.42 billion yuan, and 1.67 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 3.60%, 9.85%, and 18.02% respectively - Net profit projections for the same period are 177 million yuan, 187 million yuan, and 206 million yuan, with growth rates of 212.06%, 5.71%, and 10.03% respectively [12][14]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sectors, with a focus on improving profitability driven by declining feed costs and increased production scale [1][11]. Core Insights - The overall agricultural sector has seen a revenue increase of 6.12% year-on-year in H1 2025, reaching 614.8 billion yuan, with a significant profit increase of 198% to 27 billion yuan, primarily due to the recovery of the pig farming sector [1][11]. - The pig farming sector is experiencing a seasonal price decline, yet remains profitable due to reduced feed costs and increased production efficiency [2][28]. - The poultry farming sector has shown mixed performance, with revenue slightly declining by 0.29% in H1 2025, but net profit improved by 6.43% due to lower costs [3][21]. - The seed sector reported a revenue increase of 5.05% in H1 2025, although net profit turned negative, indicating challenges in seed sales due to falling grain prices [4][21]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - Feed prices have been on a downward trend, improving overall farming costs. Pig prices have remained stable year-on-year, while poultry prices have been low but profitable across the supply chain. The agricultural product supply-demand balance is easing, with major product prices at low levels [1][11]. - In H1 2025, the sector achieved revenues of 614.8 billion yuan and net profits of 27 billion yuan, with significant contributions from the pig farming sector [1][11]. Pig Farming - In 2024, pig supply is expected to decrease, with prices showing seasonal trends. Despite a decline in prices post-October, the sector remains profitable. In Q1 2025, the average price was 15.01 yuan/kg, up 3.90% year-on-year, while Q2 saw a price drop to 14.56 yuan/kg, down 10.94% year-on-year [2][28]. - The pig farming sector generated revenues of 248.6 billion yuan in H1 2025, a 15.67% increase, with net profits soaring by 1551% to 17.1 billion yuan [2][28]. Poultry Farming - The poultry sector's revenue in H1 2025 was 33.7 billion yuan, a slight decline of 0.29%, but net profit increased by 6.43% to 1 billion yuan due to lower costs [3][21]. - The white feather chicken segment remains stable despite low prices, while the yellow feather chicken segment is recovering from previous losses [3][21]. Seed Sector - The seed sector reported revenues of 8.87 billion yuan in H1 2025, a 5.05% increase, but net profit turned negative, indicating challenges in the market [4][21].

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Buy" [4] Core Insights - In July, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs reported a stable yet slightly declining breeding sow inventory at 40.42 million heads, with a significant increase in pig slaughtering volume, reaching 31.66 million heads, a month-on-month increase of 5.3% and a year-on-year increase of 30.4% [1][3] - The average price of commodity pigs showed a slight rebound to 14.84 yuan/kg in July, with a month-on-month increase of 1.9% but a year-on-year decrease of 21.6% [1] - The overall profitability of the industry remained marginal, with average profits per head for large-scale farms at 21 yuan and for smallholders at 6 yuan [1] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance - The agricultural sector outperformed the market, with the agricultural index rising by 2.02% compared to the Shanghai Composite Index's 0.84% increase [13] - The livestock farming sector saw a rise of 4.39%, while other sectors like animal health and fisheries experienced declines [13] 2. Key Data Tracking - The average price of live pigs was reported at 13.66 yuan/kg, down 0.65% week-on-week, while the average price of piglets was 27.14 yuan/kg, down 2.3% [22] - The average slaughter weight of pigs decreased to 127.83 kg, with a slight decline of 0.15 kg week-on-week [22] 3. Investment Recommendations - The pig farming sector is expected to enter a long-term profit upcycle, with recommendations for companies such as Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and Juxing Agriculture [3][68] - The feed and animal health sectors are also highlighted for potential growth, particularly with the recent clinical trials of vaccines [3][68] - The planting chain is recommended for investment due to the upward trend in grain prices, with companies like Suqian Agricultural Development and Beidahuang being noted [3][68] - The pet food sector is experiencing growth, with recommendations for companies like Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co., Ltd. [3][70]