Longi(SH:601012) Minsheng Securities·2025-05-05 03:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company is experiencing a phase of profitability pressure due to irrational price competition and supply-demand mismatches in the industry, leading to significant declines in revenue and profit margins [1][2]. - The company adopts a "control volume and ensure profit" strategy to navigate intense price competition, focusing on key markets and customers [2]. - The company is committed to leading in BC technology, with significant advantages in its BC 2.0 products, achieving high production efficiency and yield rates [3]. - The company is proactively expanding its component production capacity in the U.S. to mitigate potential trade barriers and enhance its competitive edge [3]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 825.82 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 36.23%, and a net loss attributable to shareholders of 86.18 billion yuan, a decline of 180.15% [1][5]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 136.52 billion yuan, down 22.75% year-on-year and 43.09% quarter-on-quarter, with a net loss of 14.36 billion yuan, an increase of 38.89% year-on-year [1][5]. - The company’s silicon wafer shipment volume in 2024 was 108.46 GW, with a revenue of 82.07 billion yuan, reflecting a 66.53% decrease [2]. - The company’s battery module shipment volume in 2024 was 82.32 GW, generating revenue of 663.34 billion yuan, down 33.13% [2]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 734.56 billion yuan, 818.12 billion yuan, and 893.74 billion yuan, respectively [4][5]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be -21.55 billion yuan in 2025, followed by 22.26 billion yuan in 2026 and 46.10 billion yuan in 2027 [4][5]. - The report indicates a significant improvement in profitability by 2026, with a projected PE ratio of 50X for 2026 and 24X for 2027 [4][5].