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锦浪科技(300763):2024年年报及2025年一季报点评:光储逆变器业务盈利承压,电站业务高速增长

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 52.40 CNY per share [5]. Core Views - The company's inverter business is under pressure, while its power station business is experiencing rapid growth [1]. - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 6.542 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 7.23%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 11.32% to 691 million CNY [1][4]. - The company is actively expanding its brand presence and market reach, particularly in emerging markets, while facing increased competition in the European household energy storage sector [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 65.42 billion CNY, with a net profit of 6.91 billion CNY, reflecting a decline in profitability [1]. - The first quarter of 2025 showed a significant recovery, with revenue of 15.18 billion CNY, up 8.65%, and net profit soaring by 859.78% to 1.95 billion CNY [1]. Business Segments - The grid-connected inverter business generated 37.92 billion CNY in revenue in 2024, down 6.7%, with a gross margin of 18.68% [2]. - The energy storage inverter segment saw a revenue increase of 30.37% to 5.72 billion CNY, although its gross margin decreased by 9.1 percentage points [2]. - The household photovoltaic system business achieved a revenue of 14.64 billion CNY, up 22.65%, while the new energy power generation business revenue surged by 110.99% to 6.17 billion CNY [3]. Market Strategy - The company is committed to a dual-brand strategy with "Jinlang Technology" and "SOLIS," focusing on global expansion and localizing sales and service networks in regions such as Europe, Australia, Southeast Asia, the United States, and Latin America [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted downward due to the competitive landscape and subdued demand in Europe, with expected net profits of 1.018 billion CNY, 1.313 billion CNY, and 1.596 billion CNY respectively [4]. - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 21, 16, and 13 for 2025-2027 [4].