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中闽能源(600163):2024年报及2025年一季报点评:25Q1归母净利+18%,看好公司长期海风发展潜力

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [7][17]. Core Views - The company achieved a total revenue of 1.741 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 0.54%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 651 million yuan, a decrease of 4.03%. In Q1 2025, the company reported total revenue of 514 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.43%, and a net profit of 251 million yuan, an increase of 18.1% [1][3]. - The report highlights the company's long-term potential in offshore wind development, particularly in Fujian province, where it is a significant player. The growth in offshore wind capacity is expected to accelerate, with only 41 GW installed as of 2024, representing just 1.2% of total capacity [7][8]. - The report emphasizes the importance of project allocation and asset injection for future growth, particularly the potential benefits from the third phase of the offshore wind project [7][8]. Financial Summary - The company's total revenue is projected to grow from 1.741 billion yuan in 2024 to 2.697 billion yuan by 2027, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 0.5%, 5.1%, 14.5%, and 28.7% [3][8]. - Net profit is expected to increase from 651 million yuan in 2024 to 1.07 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of -4.0%, 13.8%, 16.5%, and 23.9% respectively [3][8]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.34 yuan in 2024 to 0.56 yuan in 2027, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio decreasing from 16x to 10x over the same period [3][8]. Market Performance - The company's stock price target is set at 7.8 yuan, representing a 41% upside from the current price of 5.54 yuan [3][7]. - The report notes that the company has a total market capitalization of 10.543 billion yuan and a debt-to-equity ratio of 54.6% in 2024, indicating a relatively stable financial position [4][8].