鱼跃医疗：主业回归常态化轨道，海外市场高速增长-20250505

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Yuyue Medical is "Buy" [6] Core Views - The business is gradually returning to a normalized trajectory in 2024, with short-term revenue pressure primarily due to high base effects from the previous year. Profit performance is lagging behind revenue due to fluctuations in gross margin and increased expense ratios, as well as high asset disposal gains in the previous year. Increased marketing investments are supporting market expansion for new products. The overseas localization efforts are continuously improving, with significant growth in export revenue, particularly in key products like ventilators [1][2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, Yuyue Medical achieved operating revenue of 7.566 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 5.09%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.806 billion yuan, down 24.63% year-on-year. The first quarter of 2025 saw operating revenue of 2.436 billion yuan, an increase of 9.17% year-on-year, while net profit decreased by 5.26% [1][2][4]. Segment Performance - The blood glucose segment led growth with revenue of 1.03 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 40.20%. The respiratory therapy segment reported revenue of 2.597 billion yuan, down 22.42% due to previous year's demand fluctuations, although home respiratory devices still showed growth. Clinical instruments and rehabilitation generated 2.093 billion yuan, up 0.24% [3]. Overseas Market Expansion - Export revenue reached 949 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 30.42%. The company has over 1,000 personnel in its overseas sales team, enhancing channel expansion and localization efforts. Key products are making significant inroads in overseas markets, particularly in Southeast Asia, Europe, and South America [3]. Profit Forecast and Investment Suggestions - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 8.459 billion, 9.479 billion, and 10.611 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 11.8%, 12.1%, and 11.9% respectively. Net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 2.006 billion, 2.241 billion, and 2.521 billion yuan, with growth rates of 11.1%, 11.7%, and 12.5% respectively [4][5].