CTGR(SH:600905) Changjiang Securities·2025-05-05 11:43Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Views - In 2024, the company is expected to achieve a revenue of 29.717 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.13%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to decline by 14.81% to 6.111 billion yuan [6][8]. - The first quarter of 2025 shows a revenue of 7.628 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.47% year-on-year, but the net profit attributable to shareholders has increased by 1.16% to 2.447 billion yuan [6][8]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - The company’s revenue for 2024 is projected at 29.717 billion yuan, with a gross profit of 15.639 billion yuan, reflecting a gross margin of 52.63%, down by 2.49 percentage points year-on-year [6][10]. - The company’s financial expenses for 2024 are expected to reach 4.310 billion yuan, an increase of 8.85% year-on-year, impacting profitability [10]. Operational Performance - In 2024, the company added 7.917 million kilowatts of new installed capacity, with total generation reaching 71.952 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 30.40% [10]. - The average on-grid electricity price for 2024 is expected to be 0.4195 yuan per kilowatt-hour, a decrease of 14.10% year-on-year, affecting revenue [10]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts earnings per share (EPS) of 0.25 yuan, 0.26 yuan, and 0.28 yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 17.31, 16.67, and 15.11 [10].