Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [3]. Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance was in line with market expectations, with revenue of 663 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 17.9%, and a net profit of 444 million yuan, down 15.9% year-on-year. The weak performance is attributed to a high base from the previous year and a sluggish consumption environment [6][9]. - The company has a strong gross margin of 93.9% in Q1 2025, although it decreased by 0.7 percentage points year-on-year. The net profit margin improved to 66.9%, up 1.6 percentage points year-on-year [6][10]. - The acquisition of a controlling stake in REGEN Biotech, Inc. is expected to enhance growth potential, as the company specializes in medical materials and devices, which will aid in expanding overseas operations [6][9]. - The company has a robust pipeline with several products in various stages of development, including botulinum toxin and other medical aesthetic products, which are expected to contribute to revenue growth in the coming years [6][9]. - Despite a slight downward adjustment in profit forecasts for 2025-2027, the long-term outlook remains positive due to anticipated recovery in consumer demand and new product launches [6][9]. Financial Summary - Projected total revenue for 2025 is 3,196 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 5.6%. The net profit is expected to be 2,091 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 6.8% [2][13]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 6.91 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 25 [2][13]. - The gross margin is projected to be 95.0% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 23.9% [2][13].
爱美客(300896):短期业绩承压,25年内需复苏有望助力业绩拐点