SCG(SH:600170) HTSC·2025-05-05 15:45Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 3.11 [8][9]. Core Views - The company reported a significant decline in revenue for Q1 2025, achieving RMB 40.3 billion, down 46.1% year-on-year, and a net loss attributable to shareholders of RMB 1.79 billion, a decrease of 162% year-on-year. However, the impact on the full year is expected to be relatively small due to the historically low contribution of Q1 to annual revenue [1][5]. - The company has a strong market presence in Shanghai, with 72% of new contracts in 2024 coming from the Shanghai market and 83% from the Yangtze River Delta region, indicating a stable operational performance [1]. - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 improved to 7.54%, an increase of 1.37 percentage points year-on-year, although the net profit margin was negative at -0.44%, down 0.83 percentage points year-on-year due to increased expense ratios [2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue was RMB 40.3 billion, down 46.1% year-on-year, with a net loss of RMB 1.79 billion [1]. - The gross profit margin improved to 7.54%, while the net profit margin was -0.44% [2]. - The company’s operating cash flow showed improvement, with a net cash outflow of RMB 23.3 billion, which was RMB 2 billion less than the previous year [3]. Contracting and Market Activity - New contracts signed in Q1 2025 totaled RMB 64.5 billion, a decrease of 44% year-on-year, with significant declines in construction and building materials sectors [4]. - The company is focusing on expanding its market presence in the Yangtze River Delta, with a 9% year-on-year increase in new contracts outside Shanghai [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for the company remains at RMB 2.3 billion for 2025, with a price-to-earnings ratio (PE) of 12 times, maintaining the target price of RMB 3.11 [5].