沪硅产业：300mm硅片持续扩产，利润端短期承压

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of approximately 3.39 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of about 6.2%, but a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately -970 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of about 620.3% [5] - The gross margin for 2024 was approximately -9.0%, a decrease of about 25.4 percentage points year-on-year [5] - The revenue growth is attributed to the recovery in industry trends and the further release of 300mm semiconductor silicon wafer capacity, while profit margins are under pressure due to product price declines and high R&D expenditures [5][6] Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 3,388 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.2% [11] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 was -971 million yuan, reflecting a significant decline of 620.3% year-on-year [11] - The gross margin for 2024 was -9.0%, indicating a decrease of 25.4 percentage points compared to the previous year [11] - The company expects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 26 million yuan, 217 million yuan, and 347 million yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 1871.18, 220.43, and 137.88 [8] Production Capacity and Market Trends - The company’s 300mm silicon wafer shipments reached 5.052 million pieces in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 72.1%, with revenue from this segment at 2.11 billion yuan, up 52.8% year-on-year [7] - The company has achieved full coverage in various application fields for 300mm wafers and expects to double its production capacity to 1.2 million pieces per month following the completion of ongoing capacity upgrade projects [7][8] - The 200mm and below silicon wafer prices are under pressure, with a 3.3% decrease in shipments for this segment in 2024, leading to a revenue drop of 27.9% to 1.05 billion yuan [6][7]