Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [6]. Core Views - The company is experiencing a strong product cycle in the new energy sector, with significant growth in sales and a clear strategy for global expansion [2][4]. - The company aims to achieve a total sales target of 3 million vehicles by 2025, with 1 million of those being new energy vehicles [2]. - The report highlights the acceleration of the company's transformation towards electric and intelligent vehicles, supported by partnerships with Huawei [4]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In April, the company's wholesale sales were 191,000 vehicles, down 9.3% year-on-year and down 28.9% month-on-month. Cumulative sales from January to April reached 896,000 vehicles, a slight decrease of 0.7% year-on-year [1]. - The company's self-owned passenger vehicle sales in April were 109,000 units, down 11.1% year-on-year and down 33.9% month-on-month. Cumulative sales for the first four months were 562,000 units, up 0.3% year-on-year [1]. New Energy Vehicle Growth - The company saw a significant increase in new energy vehicle sales, with April sales reaching 62,000 units, up 19.8% year-on-year, although down 28.9% month-on-month. Cumulative sales for the first four months were 256,000 units, up 41.9% year-on-year [2]. - The deep blue brand sold 20,000 units in April, up 58.0% year-on-year, while the Avita brand sold 11,681 units, up 122.6% year-on-year [2][3]. Global Expansion Strategy - The company's overseas sales in April were 42,000 units, up 34.0% year-on-year, with cumulative sales for the first four months reaching 202,000 units, up 43.7% year-on-year [4]. - The company plans to establish 8 new operating entities and 16 logistics nodes overseas by 2025, aiming to enhance its global market presence [4]. Financial Forecast - The report projects revenues of 189.6 billion, 209.5 billion, and 233.5 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 8.9 billion, 10.8 billion, and 12.7 billion yuan for the same years [5][21]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 0.89, 1.09, and 1.28 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 14, 11, and 10 [5][21].
长安汽车:系列点评二十六:阿维塔+深蓝发力 新能源产品周期强劲-20250506