裕同科技（002831）：全球产能布局优势凸显

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [6][17]. Core Views - The company has demonstrated resilience in the face of geopolitical and economic fragmentation, leveraging its integrated product lines, global layout, and smart manufacturing to enhance customer acquisition and international development [2][4]. - Despite a decline in net profit due to strategic equity disposals and employee stock plan expenses, the company achieved record revenue in 2024, reinforcing its leading position in the industry [2][3]. - The company has a high cash dividend payout ratio of 60%, reflecting strong operational confidence [2]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 3.699 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.42%, and a net profit of 241 million yuan, up 10.26% year-on-year [1]. - For the full year 2024, the company achieved revenue of 17.157 billion yuan, a 12.71% increase year-on-year, while net profit slightly decreased by 2.05% to 1.409 billion yuan [1][10]. - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 24.80%, down 1.43 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin was 8.21%, down 1.24 percentage points year-on-year [1][10]. Product Segment Performance - Revenue from premium paper packaging reached 12.418 billion yuan, a 12.52% increase year-on-year, while the gross margin was 25.82% [3]. - The environmental paper-plastic products segment saw revenue growth of 19.45% year-on-year, totaling 1.271 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 20.98% [3]. - The company is recognized as one of the largest premium paper packaging manufacturers globally, maintaining a leading position in the consumer electronics and smart hardware sectors [3]. Geographic Revenue Breakdown - Domestic revenue for 2024 was 12.059 billion yuan, a 4.90% increase year-on-year, while international revenue surged by 36.81% to 5.097 billion yuan [4]. - The company has expanded its overseas operations, with production facilities in over 10 countries and more than 100 subsidiaries [4]. Future Earnings Forecast - The company has adjusted its profit forecast, expecting net profits of 1.690 billion yuan, 1.949 billion yuan, and 2.213 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [10].