ORG Technology(002701) Huafu Securities·2025-05-06 06:42Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of over 20% against the market benchmark within the next six months [19]. Core Views - The company has shown resilience in its operations, achieving stable growth in its three-piece can business and improved performance in its two-piece can segment. The acquisition of COFCO has significantly enhanced the company's scale and profitability [4][5]. - The company is expected to benefit from a recovery in demand and an improved industry landscape, with a forecasted increase in net profit for 2025-2027 [6][19]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 13.673 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.23% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 791 million yuan, an increase of 2.06% year-on-year. In Q1 2025, revenue surged to 5.574 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 56.96%, with net profit reaching 665 million yuan, up 137.91% year-on-year [3][6]. - The company's gross profit margin and net profit margin for 2024 were 16.3% and 5.7%, respectively, showing improvements compared to the previous year. However, Q1 2025 saw a decline in gross profit margin to 13.6% due to seasonal demand fluctuations and raw material price volatility [6][3]. Acquisition Impact - The successful acquisition of COFCO Packaging has led to a significant increase in total assets, reaching 30.137 billion yuan by the end of Q1 2025, a growth of 66.56% from the beginning of the period. The acquisition also contributed 461 million yuan in investment income [5][6]. - The acquisition has resulted in a rise in expenses during Q1 2025, primarily due to increased financial costs associated with the merger and acquisition activities [5]. Dividend Policy - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.20 yuan per share (before tax) to all shareholders, totaling approximately 307 million yuan, which represents 46.17% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for the year [6].