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伯特利:2025年一季报点评:毛利率或为阶段低点,看好智能底盘+全球化长期趋势-20250506

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the company's gross margin may be at a low point for the current phase, but it remains optimistic about the long-term trends in smart chassis and globalization [1] - The company reported a revenue of 2.64 billion yuan in Q1 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 41.8% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 21.5% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for Q1 2025 was 270 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 28.8% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 37.3% [1] - The report notes strong demand from key customers, with production increases of 29% and 43% for Chery and Geely, respectively [1] - The company has successfully expanded its order acquisition, with 416 new projects added in 2024, including various product lines [1] - The expansion of the Mexican production facility is progressing well, with expectations for increased capacity and profitability by 2025 [1] Financial Forecasts - The company is projected to achieve total revenue of 12.92 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 30% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 1.55 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 28% [1] - The report maintains the earnings per share (EPS) forecast at 2.55 yuan for 2025, with a corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 22.59 [1]