Bank of Chengdu(601838) 长江证券·2025-05-06 08:44Investment Rating - The investment rating for Chengdu Bank is "Buy" and is maintained [9] Core Views - Chengdu Bank's revenue growth for 2024 is projected at 5.9%, with a net profit growth of 10.2%, driven by a recovery in interest income [2][6] - For Q1 2025, revenue growth is expected to be 3.2%, and net profit growth is anticipated at 5.6%, primarily due to a high base effect on interest income [2][6] - The bank's loan growth is expected to lead the industry, with a year-end loan growth of 18.7% for 2024 and 8.8% for Q1 2025, focusing on government-related business [2][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Chengdu Bank's 2024 revenue growth is 5.9%, with a quarterly growth of 14.8% in Q4. The net profit growth for the same year is 10.2%, with a quarterly growth of 8.7% in Q4 [2][6] - For Q1 2025, revenue growth is 3.2%, and net profit growth is 5.6%, influenced by a high base from the previous year [2][6] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio at the end of 2024 and Q1 2025 is 0.66%, with a provision coverage ratio of 479% and 456% respectively, indicating strong asset quality [2][6] Interest Income - Interest income for 2024 is expected to grow by 4.6%, with a significant recovery in the second half of the year. For Q1 2025, interest income growth is projected at 3.7%, affected by a high base from the previous year [2][6] Loan and Deposit Growth - Loan growth for 2024 is projected at 18.7%, with significant increases in corporate and retail loans. For Q1 2025, loan growth is expected to be 8.8% [2][6] - Total deposits are expected to grow by 13.2% in 2024, with personal deposits increasing by 23.8% [2][6] Net Interest Margin - The net interest margin for 2024 is projected at 1.66%, with expectations of stabilization in the second half of the year. The decline in funding costs is anticipated to support margin recovery [2][6] Investment Recommendations - The bank's strong asset quality and clear dividend yield advantage are highlighted, with a dividend payout ratio of 29% for 2024, corresponding to a dividend yield of 5.2% [2][6]