TMT(SH:600458) Changjiang Securities·2025-05-06 09:17Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 20.055 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 14.35%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 445 million yuan, up 15.20% year-on-year. However, the net profit excluding non-recurring items decreased by 2.46% [2][4]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 4.158 billion yuan, a decline of 1.11% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 26.30% to 152 million yuan. The net profit excluding non-recurring items fell by 16.82% [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 2024, the company expects a stable revenue growth driven by wind energy (42% of revenue, up 23%), rail transportation (12%, up 26%), industrial engineering (10%, up 15%), and automotive (35%, up 4%). The total profit for the year is projected to be 521 million yuan, a 30.51% increase [9]. - The wind energy segment is anticipated to generate approximately 8.37 billion yuan in revenue, with a sales volume of about 21.2 GW, reflecting a 34% increase year-on-year. The average price per MW is expected to be around 386,000 yuan, down 8% [9]. - The automotive segment is projected to turn profitable, with a revenue of 7.1 billion yuan, improving from a loss of 217 million yuan to a profit of 11 million yuan [9]. Segment Analysis - The rail transportation segment is expected to achieve a revenue of 2.36 billion yuan in 2024, with a profit margin of 11.0%, while the industrial engineering segment is projected to generate 1.92 billion yuan, with a profit margin of 10.4% [9]. - In Q1 2025, the revenue from rail transportation and industrial engineering declined significantly due to temporary factory relocations, impacting overall profitability [9]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates continued growth across all segments in 2025, with wind energy expected to contribute the most to profit elasticity. The automotive segment is expected to solidify its turnaround, while rail transportation and industrial engineering may face short-term challenges due to factory relocations [9].