安琪酵母：收入稳健增长，利润弹性释放-20250506

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [2][8] Core Views - The company has shown steady revenue growth with a 2024 revenue of 15.197 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.9% year-on-year increase. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.325 billion yuan, up 4.28% year-on-year [5][8] - The yeast business remains a strong growth driver, while the sugar business is being accelerated for divestment. In 2024, revenue from yeast and deep processing was 10.854 billion yuan, a 14.19% increase year-on-year, while the sugar segment saw a decline of 26.05% [6][8] - The company is experiencing a recovery in gross margin, with a gross margin of 23.52% in 2024, slightly down from the previous year. The gross margin for Q1 2025 improved to 25.97% [7][8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company achieved revenue of 4.285 billion yuan, with a net profit of 371 million yuan, marking a 9.07% increase in revenue year-on-year [5] - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 3.794 billion yuan, with a net profit of 370 million yuan, reflecting an 8.95% increase in revenue year-on-year [5] Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, the revenue breakdown was as follows: yeast and deep processing (10.854 billion yuan), sugar (1.265 billion yuan), packaging (0.409 billion yuan), food raw materials (1.437 billion yuan), and others (1.168 billion yuan) [6] - For Q1 2025, the revenue from yeast and deep processing was 2.773 billion yuan, while the sugar segment saw a significant decline to 157 million yuan [6] Profitability Metrics - The company’s gross margin for 2024 was 23.52%, with a net profit margin of 8.72%. In Q1 2025, the gross margin improved to 25.97% [7] - The company’s operating expenses were managed effectively, with sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios showing slight variations [7] Earnings Forecast - The revenue forecast for 2025 and 2026 has been adjusted to 17.049 billion yuan and 18.882 billion yuan, respectively, with expected year-on-year growth rates of 12.19% and 10.75% [8][10] - The net profit forecast for 2025 and 2026 is set at 1.651 billion yuan and 1.917 billion yuan, indicating a growth of 24.62% and 16.14% year-on-year [8][10]