Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase in stock price of over 20% within the next six months [9][15]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated resilience in maintaining its leading position despite high base effects, with a slight increase in revenue and net profit for 2024 [5]. - The company is focusing on a big product strategy, with significant contributions from key products like frozen fish and meat products, while facing challenges in certain segments due to competition and market dynamics [6]. - The management is prioritizing new product development and strategic partnerships with major retailers to enhance profitability and scale [6][8]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company reported revenues of 15.127 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.7%, with net profit slightly up by 0.46% [5][11]. - The first quarter of 2025 showed a decline in revenue and net profit, indicating a need for strategic adjustments [5]. - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 23.3%, with a net profit margin of 9.82%, reflecting stable profitability despite rising costs [7][11]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted to 16.192 billion yuan and 17.560 billion yuan, respectively, with expected growth rates of 7.04% and 8.45% [9][11]. - The forecast for net profit in 2025 is set at 1.622 billion yuan, representing a growth of 9.25% compared to the previous year [9][11]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to increase to 5.53 yuan in 2025, with a corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13.79 [9][11].
安井食品(603345):稳守龙头地位,高基数下韧性强