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万辰集团:一季度利润超预期,规模效应持续兑现-20250506

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [2] Core Insights - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 10.821 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 124.02%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 215 million yuan, reflecting a staggering growth of 3344.13% [5] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 11.02%, an increase of 1.24 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 1.99%, up by 1.86 percentage points [5] - The company has launched a new stock incentive plan for 2025, aiming for significant net profit growth targets over the next four years [7] Financial Performance Summary - The company achieved a net profit of 412 million yuan in its snack wholesale business for Q1 2025, with a net profit margin of 3.85%, marking a record high [6] - The revenue forecast for 2025-2027 is set at 52.567 billion yuan, 63.522 billion yuan, and 72.402 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 62.6%, 20.84%, and 13.98% [8] - The adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are 744 million yuan, 985 million yuan, and 1.185 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 153.33%, 32.43%, and 20.36% [8] Key Financial Metrics - The company’s total market capitalization is 29.7 billion yuan, with a total share capital of 1.8 billion shares [4] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for 2025 is projected at 39.88, decreasing to 30.11 in 2026 and 25.02 in 2027 [11] - The asset-liability ratio stands at 79.9%, indicating a high level of leverage [4]