恒立液压（601100）：基本面稳健，新业务启航

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a target price of 86.24 CNY for the next six months [5]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 9.39 billion CNY in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.51%, and a net profit of 2.509 billion CNY, up 0.4% year-on-year [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.422 billion CNY, a 2.56% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 618 million CNY, up 2.61% year-on-year [1]. - The company is focusing on overseas capacity construction and electrification, with significant capital expenditures planned for 2023 and 2024, amounting to 1.37 billion CNY and 1.07 billion CNY respectively [1]. - The company is experiencing robust growth due to increased market share in excavator pumps and valves, expansion in non-construction machinery sectors, and international business growth [1]. Financial Performance - The company's gross and net profit margins for 2024 were 42.8% and 26.8%, respectively, with slight changes year-on-year [2]. - In Q1 2025, the gross margin was 39.4% and the net margin was 25.6% [2]. - R&D expenses for 2024 and Q1 2025 were 728 million CNY and 149 million CNY, reflecting increases of 4.8% and 40% year-on-year, respectively [2]. Business Development - The linear actuator project is progressing, with trial production expected to start in Q2 2024, and the Mexican factory project has reached 75% completion and is now in trial production [3]. - The company aims to enhance its electric strategy and expand its presence in the North American market through these initiatives [3]. Revenue Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 10.48 billion CNY, 12.16 billion CNY, and 14.17 billion CNY, with year-on-year growth rates of 11.6%, 16%, and 16.5% respectively [8]. - Net profit projections for the same period are 2.63 billion CNY, 3 billion CNY, and 3.61 billion CNY, with growth rates of 5%, 14.1%, and 20.3% respectively [8].