SANY(SH:600031) Changjiang Securities·2025-05-06 23:30Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 21.177 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 18.77%. The domestic three major product lines are expected to recover comprehensively, with significant cost control measures leading to a net profit margin of 11.89%, up by 2.7 percentage points year-on-year. The outlook for the entire year of 2025 is optimistic, with potential upward revisions in sales expectations [2][6]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 21.177 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.77%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.471 billion yuan, up 56.40% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 2.403 billion yuan, an increase of 78.54% year-on-year [6]. Domestic Market Recovery - The domestic market is showing signs of recovery, with the excavator industry experiencing a year-on-year sales increase of 38% in Q1 2025. The company, as a leading player in the excavator sector, is expected to see substantial revenue growth in this segment. Additionally, the recovery is extending from excavators to non-excavator machinery, with positive sales trends anticipated in the crane and concrete machinery sectors [2][11]. International Business Growth - The company's international business is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with Q1 2025 overseas revenue growth anticipated to exceed the industry average. Emerging markets such as Africa, Latin America, and Asia-Pacific are expected to show faster growth rates. The company has established a solid overseas presence with local production, research, sales, and service capabilities, enhancing its long-term competitive edge [2][11]. Cost Control and Profit Margins - The company has effectively implemented cost control measures, resulting in a significant improvement in net profit margin to 11.89% in Q1 2025. This improvement is attributed to a decrease in research and development expenses, management expenses, and financial expenses, contributing positively to profit growth [2][11]. Future Outlook - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the recovery in the domestic market and is expected to achieve net profits of 8.633 billion yuan and 11.008 billion yuan in 2025 and 2026, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 19 times and 15 times [2][11].