HPEC(SH:600312) Changjiang Securities·2025-05-06 23:30Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Views - The company reported a 2024 annual revenue of 12.4 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.0% - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 was 1.02 billion yuan, up 25.4% year-on-year - The non-recurring net profit for 2024 was 990 million yuan, reflecting a 23.0% year-on-year increase - For Q4 2024, the revenue was 4.52 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 24.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 58.8% - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q4 2024 was 170 million yuan, down 36.9% year-on-year and down 48.6% quarter-on-quarter - The non-recurring net profit for Q4 2024 was 140 million yuan, down 44.4% year-on-year and down 54.3% quarter-on-quarter - In Q1 2025, the revenue was 2.51 billion yuan, up 22.8% year-on-year, with a net profit of 360 million yuan, up 55.9% year-on-year [2][4][5]. Financial Performance - The high-voltage segment contributed significantly to the company's revenue, with 2024 annual revenue of 7.698 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.1% - The medium and low-voltage segment revenue was 3.242 billion yuan, up 11.4% year-on-year - The operation and maintenance services and other revenue totaled 1.164 billion yuan, down 0.9% year-on-year - The international business segment revenue was 204 million yuan, down 71.8% year-on-year - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 22.36%, an increase of 0.97 percentage points year-on-year - The gross margin for the high-voltage segment was 25.53%, up 2.66 percentage points year-on-year [9][10]. Future Outlook - The company expects to achieve a revenue of 12.5 to 13.5 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of approximately 1% to 9% - The estimated net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is projected to be 1.467 billion yuan, corresponding to a valuation of about 15 times [9][10].