Mindray(SZ:300760) Huaan Securities·2025-05-07 01:30Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 36.726 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.14%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 11.668 billion yuan, up 0.74% year-on-year. In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 8.237 billion yuan, down 12.12% year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.629 billion yuan, down 16.81% year-on-year [4][5] - Domestic growth is under pressure, while the overseas market continues to show high growth. In 2024, domestic revenue was approximately 20.29 billion yuan, accounting for about 55.3% of total revenue, down 5.1% year-on-year. Conversely, overseas revenue was about 16.43 billion yuan, accounting for approximately 44.7%, with a year-on-year growth of about 21.3% [5][6] - The in-vitro diagnostics (IVD) segment has become the company's largest business, generating revenue of 13.765 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 10.82%. The international IVD business grew over 30% year-on-year [7][8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 36.726 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.14%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 11.668 billion yuan, reflecting a 0.74% increase year-on-year. For Q1 2025, revenue was 8.237 billion yuan, down 12.12% year-on-year, and net profit was 2.629 billion yuan, down 16.81% year-on-year [4][5][11] Market Dynamics - Domestic revenue faced a decline due to weak hospital equipment procurement and the impact of DRG 2.0. However, recovery is expected in the domestic market by Q3 2025 due to easing fiscal constraints and the initiation of medical equipment upgrade projects [5][6] - The overseas market showed robust growth, particularly in the Asia-Pacific region, which grew nearly 40% year-on-year, and Europe, which rebounded with over 30% growth [5][6] Business Transformation - The company is accelerating its transition to a more streamlined business model, with IVD becoming the primary revenue driver. The installation of laboratory automation systems and high-speed chemical luminescence instruments has been significant, with nearly 190 systems installed in 2024 [7][8] - The company has established localized production projects in 13 countries, enhancing its international market penetration and supporting growth in the IVD segment [8][9] Future Outlook - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 40.928 billion yuan, 48.212 billion yuan, and 56.881 billion yuan, with expected year-on-year growth rates of 11.4%, 17.8%, and 18.0%, respectively. Net profit is projected to reach 13.203 billion yuan, 15.688 billion yuan, and 18.629 billion yuan during the same period [9][11]