Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [3][8]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 29.766 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.93%, and completed 97% of its annual budget. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 556 million, down 7.98% year-on-year, completing 78% of the annual budget. The non-recurring net profit attributable to shareholders was 482 million, up 19.68% year-on-year [1][7]. - For 2025, the company is expected to achieve a revenue of 30.249 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1.63%, and a net profit of 604 million, a year-on-year increase of 8.66%, with a projected net profit margin of around 2%, an increase of 0.38 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The company forecasts net profits of 612 million, 723 million, and 850 million for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating a strong growth trajectory [3]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 29.766 billion, with a breakdown showing the Harbin division achieving 20.943 billion (up 24% year-on-year) and the Jingdezhen division achieving 10.058 billion (up 71% year-on-year) [7]. - The gross margin for 2024 was 10.47%, an increase of 0.34 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 1.62%, an increase of 0.13 percentage points year-on-year [7]. - The company’s total assets are projected to be 51.159 billion in 2025, with total liabilities of 34.405 billion, resulting in a debt-to-asset ratio of 67.3% [16][18]. Valuation Metrics - The report provides a valuation of 48, 41, and 35 times earnings for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, maintaining a "Strong Buy" rating [8]. - The company’s price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is projected to decrease from 66.4 in 2023 to 34.5 in 2027, indicating an improving valuation over time [18].
中直股份(600038):24年实现营收稳增,盈利能力预计持续提升