上海港湾（605598）：费用率提高业绩承压，在手订单仍然充足

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [5]. Core Insights - The company's performance is under pressure due to increased expense ratios, although the order backlog remains substantial [1]. - The company reported a total revenue of 1.297 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 1.5%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 93 million yuan, down 46.9% year-on-year [5][7]. - The overseas business showed steady growth, contributing 83% to total revenue, while domestic business faced significant declines [5]. - New signed orders reached 2.053 billion yuan in 2024, nearly doubling from the previous year, indicating strong growth potential [5]. - The company is focusing on its core geotechnical engineering business while actively expanding into the commercial aerospace sector [5]. Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for 2025 are estimated at 1.911 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 47.4% [2]. - The net profit for 2025 is projected to be 265 million yuan, reflecting a significant increase of 186% year-on-year [2]. - The gross profit margin is expected to improve to 35.3% in 2025, up from 29.6% in 2024 [2]. - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to rise to 12.8% in 2025 [2].