SCIE(600546) 大同证券·2025-05-07 03:36Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Cautious Recommendation (Maintain)" [1] Core Views - The company reported a high gross profit margin in coal production, with a dividend payout ratio of 60% meeting expectations [3][4] - The company has implemented refined management to maintain high gross profit margins despite a decrease in revenue due to a relaxed supply-demand situation in the coal industry [4][9] Summary by Sections Company Basic Data - The company's stock price over the past 52 weeks ranged from 9.42 to 16.46, with a total market capitalization of 188.53 billion and a total share capital of 1.98 billion shares [3] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company aimed for a raw coal production target of 33 million tons, achieving 32.98 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 15.40%. Sales volume was 26.73 million tons, down 23.31%, with revenue of 17.266 billion, a decrease of 27.45% [4] - For Q1 2025, raw coal production was 9.0864 million tons, up 20.92% year-on-year, while sales volume was 4.4155 million tons, down 19.15%. Revenue was 2.624 billion, a decrease of 27.45% [4] - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.255 billion for Q1 2025, down 56.29% year-on-year [5] Cost Management - The company has successfully reduced coal production costs, with the cost per ton of coal at 249.79 yuan, down 0.55% year-on-year, and a gross profit margin of 52.29%, a decrease of 6.57 percentage points [4] - In Q1 2025, the cost per ton of coal was 131.85 yuan, a significant decrease of 41.17% year-on-year, contributing to a gross profit margin of 54.34%, an increase of 0.9 percentage points [4] Shareholder Returns - The company has a shareholder return plan for 2024-2026, aiming for a cash dividend ratio of no less than 60% of the distributable profits. The proposed cash dividend for 2024 is approximately 1.368 billion yuan [8] Future Outlook - The company expects coal prices to continue to fluctuate downward, with projected net profits for 2024-2026 at 1.891 billion, 2.114 billion, and 2.336 billion respectively, corresponding to EPS of 0.95, 1.06, and 1.18 yuan per share [9]