Smarter Energy(SH:600869) China Post Securities·2025-05-07 05:07Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within six months [9][15]. Core Views - The traditional cable business is expected to see marginal improvement, while the battery business is anticipated to recover from losses. The company is actively expanding its AI business [3]. - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 26.09 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.7%, but a net loss of 320 million yuan, a significant decline of 199.5% year-on-year. The fourth quarter of 2024 showed revenue of 7.87 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.3% and a year-on-year increase of 14.5% [3][4]. - The company is benefiting from the increasing demand for reliable power systems, particularly in the nuclear power sector, as confirmed by the approval of five nuclear power projects in April 2025 [5]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Latest closing price: 4.55 yuan - Total market capitalization: 10.1 billion yuan - Total shares outstanding: 2.219 billion shares - Debt-to-asset ratio: 78.6% [2]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 4.87 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.3%, and a net profit of 50 million yuan, up 84.6% year-on-year [3]. - The gross margin and net margin for Q1 2025 were 10.7% and 0.9%, respectively, with slight changes compared to the previous year [4]. - The smart cable network business generated revenue of 22.703 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 6.0%, but the net profit decreased by 70.1% [5]. Business Segments - The smart battery segment saw revenue of 1.65 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 180.5%, but incurred a net loss of 690 million yuan [6]. - The smart airport business achieved revenue of 1.66 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 35.7%, with a net profit of 120 million yuan [8]. Earnings Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 29.74 billion yuan, 33.90 billion yuan, and 38.36 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 590 million yuan, 820 million yuan, and 1.17 billion yuan [9][11]. - The expected price-to-earnings ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 17, 12, and 9 times, respectively [9].