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长江电力(600900):1Q25来水稳增,抽蓄+新能源蓄势待发
CYPCCYPC(SH:600900) CMS·2025-05-07 06:03

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Add" for the company [3] Core Views - The company achieved an operating revenue of 84.492 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 8.12%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 32.496 billion yuan, up 19.28% year-on-year [7] - In Q1 2025, the company reported an operating revenue of 17.015 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.68%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.181 billion yuan, up 30.56% year-on-year [7] - The favorable water conditions contributed to the increase in hydropower generation, with a total generation of 295.904 billion kWh in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 7.11% [7] - The company is actively developing pumped storage and renewable energy projects, with significant progress in various initiatives, including the Gansu Zhangye project and the Yunnan solar projects [7] - The company's profitability improved, with a gross margin of 59.13% and a net margin of 38.97% in 2024, reflecting effective cost reduction measures [7] Financial Performance Summary - The company plans to distribute a total dividend of 0.943 yuan per share for 2024, with a payout ratio of 71% [7] - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 34.638 billion yuan, 35.623 billion yuan, and 36.300 billion yuan, respectively, indicating growth rates of 7%, 3%, and 2% [7][8] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 20.6x for 2025, 20.0x for 2026, and 19.7x for 2027 [7][8] Key Financial Metrics - The company reported a total market capitalization of 71.4 billion yuan and a circulating market capitalization of 70.05 billion yuan [3] - The return on equity (ROE) for the trailing twelve months (TTM) is 15.6% [3] - The debt-to-asset ratio stands at 59.6% [3]