裕同科技（002831）：增长延续稳健，全球布局完善

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is not explicitly stated in the provided documents, but the overall sentiment appears positive based on the performance metrics and growth outlook. Core Viewpoints - The company reported a revenue of 17.157 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 12.7%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.409 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 2.1% year-on-year [1] - The company is expected to benefit from the global expansion of the smartphone market, with a projected shipment of 300 million units in Q1 2025, representing a 1.5% year-on-year growth [2] - The company has established a robust global presence with over 100 subsidiaries and 40 production bases across 10 countries, enhancing its competitive edge [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 36.99 billion yuan, up 6.4% year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.41 billion yuan, an increase of 10.3% year-on-year [1] - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 22.1%, and the net profit margin was 6.5%, showing stability in profitability metrics [4] Business Segments - The company’s main business segments showed varied performance in H2 2024, with paper-based premium packaging generating 7.236 billion yuan (up 10.7% year-on-year) and eco-friendly paper-plastic products growing significantly by 421.1% [2] - The company is positioned to benefit from the launch of new smartphone models and the ongoing demand for high-quality packaging solutions in the liquor and tobacco sectors [2] Operational Efficiency - The company has been improving its operational efficiency, with a net operating cash flow of 1.06 billion yuan in Q1 2025, indicating a positive cash flow trend [4] - The company’s inventory turnover days increased slightly to 54 days, while accounts receivable turnover days were at 143 days, reflecting stable operational management [4] Future Outlook - The company forecasts net profits of 1.804 billion yuan, 2.075 billion yuan, and 2.361 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 10.81, 9.39, and 8.26 [5] - The company is expected to maintain a healthy growth trajectory, driven by its strategic investments in smart factories and global production capabilities [3]