CTGR(SH:600905) HTSC·2025-05-07 07:25Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 29.7 billion RMB in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 12%, but the net profit attributable to the parent company was 6.111 billion RMB, a decrease of 15% year-on-year, primarily due to higher-than-expected impairment losses [1][4] - The company remains a leader in offshore wind power in China, with a diversified project reserve that helps mitigate investment risks [2][3] - The company's power generation efficiency is above the national average, but the profit per kilowatt-hour is expected to continue its year-on-year decline trend [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company generated a total power output of 72 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 30%, with wind power contributing 45.2 billion kWh (up 16% year-on-year) and solar power 25.4 billion kWh (up 65% year-on-year) [3] - The average on-grid electricity price in 2024 was 420 RMB/MWh, down 14% year-on-year, with wind power at 453 RMB/MWh (down 8%) and solar power at 367 RMB/MWh (down 26%) [3] - The net profit per kilowatt-hour decreased by 24% year-on-year to 104 RMB/MWh, with wind power at 112 RMB/MWh (down 23%) and solar power at 92 RMB/MWh (down 29%) [3] Capacity and Projects - As of the end of 2024, the company had a total installed capacity of 47.96 GW, with new additions of 7.92 GW during the year [2] - The company has 16.44 GW of projects under construction, including 4.87 GW of wind power and 7.45 GW of solar power [2] - For 2025, the company is expected to add 4.5 GW of wind power and 6.8 GW of solar power [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025 and 2026 has been adjusted downwards, with net profit estimates of 7.5 billion RMB and 8.89 billion RMB respectively, reflecting a decrease of 17% and 15% from previous estimates [4][24] - The target price for the company has been revised to 4.94 RMB, down from 6.4 RMB [4][8]