Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [3][6]. Core Views - The company's performance in 2024 is under pressure, with a year-on-year revenue decline of 15.4% to 614.07 billion yuan and a significant drop in net profit by 88.2% to 1.67 billion yuan. The first quarter of 2025 shows a sequential improvement in profit, with net profit turning positive at 3.02 billion yuan, driven by a 13.3% increase in vehicle sales [1][3]. - The company is facing challenges in its joint ventures, particularly with SAIC-GM, which reported a 56.5% decline in sales in 2024, resulting in a net loss of 26.69 billion yuan. In contrast, SAIC-GM Wuling showed strong performance with a 12.3% increase in net profit [2][3]. - The company is adapting to market conditions by increasing its export sales and enhancing its self-owned brand presence, with self-owned brand sales accounting for approximately 60% of total sales in 2024 [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 614.07 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 9.4%, down 0.8 percentage points year-on-year. The first quarter of 2025 saw revenue of 137.68 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 8.1% [1][5]. - The net profit for 2024 was 1.67 billion yuan, a decrease of 88.2% from the previous year, while the first quarter of 2025 showed a net profit of 3.02 billion yuan, an increase of 11.4% year-on-year [1][5]. Joint Ventures and Partnerships - The investment income from joint ventures and associates in 2024 was -1.33 billion yuan, a significant drop from 10.72 billion yuan in 2023. The first quarter of 2025 showed a recovery with investment income of 1.54 billion yuan [2][3]. - SAIC Volkswagen's sales in 2024 decreased by 5.5% to 1.148 million vehicles, while SAIC GM's sales plummeted by 56.5% to 435,000 vehicles, leading to substantial losses [2][3]. Export and Self-Owned Brands - The company's export retail sales in 2024 increased by 2.6% to 1.082 million vehicles, with efforts to mitigate the impact of EU anti-subsidy investigations [3]. - The self-owned brand sales are projected to grow, supported by the integration of the Roewe and Feifan brands and the launch of new models in collaboration with Huawei [3].
上汽集团(600104):2024年报及2025年一季报业绩点评:1Q25利润环比改善,重组+对外合作推动自主品牌新发展