Ligao Foods (SZ:300973) EBSCN·2025-05-07 08:47Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6]. Core Views - The company achieved a total revenue of 3.835 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 9.61%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 268 million yuan, a significant increase of 266.94% [1]. - The company's cream business continues to show strong growth, with the UHT cream series sales exceeding 500 million yuan in 2024 [2]. - The company has optimized its expense ratio significantly, with a decrease in sales expense ratio from 12.1% in 2024 to 10.1% in Q1 2025, and a reduction in management and R&D expense ratios [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported a total revenue of 1.118 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.99%, and a net profit of 65 million yuan, recovering from a loss of 85 million yuan in Q4 2023 [1]. - For Q1 2025, total revenue was 1.046 billion yuan, up 14.13% year-on-year, with a net profit of 88 million yuan, an increase of 15.11% [1]. Business Segments - In 2024, revenue from various product categories was as follows: frozen baking (2.133 billion yuan, down 3.53%), cream (1.058 billion yuan, up 61.75%), fruit products (166 million yuan, down 11.34%), sauces (225 million yuan, down 3.58%), and other baking materials (226 million yuan, up 20.66%) [2]. - The traditional pastry shop channel accounted for approximately 57% of revenue in 2024, growing by 15%, while the supermarket channel saw a slight decline due to product adjustments by core clients [2]. Profitability and Cost Management - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 31.47%, while it decreased to 29.99% in Q1 2025, primarily due to rising raw material costs [4]. - The net profit margin improved to 8.45% in Q1 2025, reflecting the company's ongoing efforts to optimize costs and improve efficiency [4]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The report forecasts net profits of 332 million yuan for 2025, 386 million yuan for 2026, and 442 million yuan for 2027, translating to EPS of 1.96, 2.28, and 2.61 yuan respectively [4]. - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 22 for 2025, 19 for 2026, and 17 for 2027 [4].