YUYUE MEDICAL(SZ:002223) Haitong Securities International·2025-05-07 09:16Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 45.47, down 8% from previous estimates [1][8]. Core Insights - The company experienced a revenue decline of 5.09% in 2024, totaling RMB 7.57 billion, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 1.81 billion, down 24.63% [1][8]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue increase of 9.17% to RMB 2.44 billion, while net profit decreased by 5.26% to RMB 625 million [1][8]. - The EPS forecast for 2025 and 2026 has been lowered to RMB 1.98 and RMB 2.28, respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 set at RMB 2.64 [1][8]. Financial Summary - The company’s revenue for 2024 is projected at RMB 7.57 billion, with a net profit of RMB 1.81 billion and a recurring net profit of RMB 1.39 billion [2]. - The revenue growth rates for the upcoming years are expected to be 11.9% in 2025, 13.2% in 2026, and 12.9% in 2027 [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to recover to RMB 1.98 billion in 2025, with a growth of 9.8% [2]. Business Performance - The respiratory solutions segment saw a revenue decline of 22.42% in 2024, totaling RMB 2.60 billion, primarily due to high base effects from 2023 [4][9]. - The glucose management and POCT solutions segment experienced significant growth, with revenue increasing by 40.20% to RMB 1.03 billion in 2024 [10]. - The company’s export revenue reached RMB 949 million in 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 30.42%, supported by strategic investments and enhanced overseas channels [11].