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天成自控(603085):2024年年报及2025年一季报点评:乘用车业务驱动增长,航空复苏与低空经济打开新空间
603085TC(603085) HUAXI Securities·2025-05-07 12:13

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company's passenger vehicle business is driving growth, while the recovery in aviation and the low-altitude economy are opening new opportunities [9] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's operating revenue was 2.23 billion, a year-on-year increase of 56.27%; however, the net profit attributable to the parent company was -16 million, a year-on-year decrease of 216.30%. The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was also -16 million, down 292.02% year-on-year. In Q1 2025, the operating revenue was 539 million, up 46.74% year-on-year, with a net profit of 21 million, an increase of 108.77% year-on-year, and a net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses of 15 million, up 47.32% year-on-year [2]. Passenger Vehicle Business Growth - The passenger vehicle business achieved significant growth, with revenue reaching 1.05 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 122.79%. New projects such as SAIC ZS32, Chery CX62D, and Dongfeng S59 contributed to this growth, effectively releasing production capacity and driving sales [3]. Traditional Business Stability - The traditional business, including engineering machinery and commercial vehicle seats, generated revenue of 718 million in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.9%. The aviation seat business also saw revenue of 217 million, up 52.89% year-on-year, benefiting from the recovery of the aviation industry [4]. Performance Improvement and Cost Control - The company reported a significant performance improvement, with a net profit of -16.48 million in 2024 and a net profit of 2.09 million in Q1 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 108.77%. The sales, management, and R&D expense ratios were 1.67%, 8.53%, and 5.94%, respectively, showing a reduction in sales and management expenses [5]. Global Expansion - The company is accelerating its global layout by establishing multinational subsidiaries and production bases in Singapore, Thailand, and Malaysia, enhancing its ability to respond quickly to international customers [6][7]. Low-altitude Economy Initiatives - The company is actively engaging in the low-altitude economy, leveraging its experience in vehicle and aviation seat manufacturing. It has formed a strategic partnership with Fengfei Aviation for the eVTOL aviation seat project, aiming to become a leading supplier in this niche market [8]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting operating revenues of 3.166 billion, 3.704 billion, and 4.075 billion, respectively. The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 152 million, 225 million, and 282 million for the same period. The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 0.38, 0.57, and 0.71, respectively [9][11].