三一重能（688349）：“β+α”共振，“双海战略”并举

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a 6-month target price of 27.84 CNY, compared to the current stock price of 23.48 CNY [6]. Core Views - The company achieved a total revenue of 17.792 billion CNY in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.1%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.812 billion CNY, down 9.7% year-on-year [1]. - The wind power sector is expected to see continued growth, with the company’s market share increasing to 10.52% in 2024, up 1.18 percentage points year-on-year [2][3]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the ongoing trend of larger wind turbine capacities, with its land-based turbines reaching up to 15MW and offshore turbines ranging from 8.5 to 16MW [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.187 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 26.58%, but a net loss of 191 million CNY, a significant decline of 171.96% year-on-year [1][4]. - The company’s gross margin and net margin for 2024 were 16.9% and 10.18%, respectively, showing a slight increase in gross margin but a decrease in net margin compared to the previous year [3]. Market Outlook - The total installed wind power capacity in China is projected to reach 105-115GW in 2025, with a significant increase in offshore wind capacity expected [3]. - The company has secured over 24GW in orders by the end of 2024, indicating strong revenue growth potential [3]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is implementing a "Dual Sea Strategy," focusing on both domestic and international markets, with significant progress in offshore wind projects and overseas orders [9][10]. - The company has developed a full range of offshore wind turbine models and has successfully completed installations, positioning itself for future growth in this segment [10]. Revenue Projections - Revenue forecasts for the company are 24.33 billion CNY in 2025, 26.78 billion CNY in 2026, and 29.57 billion CNY in 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 31.7%, 14.3%, and 10.4% [10][12].