GCLET(SZ:002015) China Post Securities·2025-05-08 02:47Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the near term [7]. Core Insights - The company has experienced a decline in revenue and net profit in 2024, with revenue at 9.8 billion yuan, down 5.4% year-on-year, and net profit at 490 million yuan, down 46.9% year-on-year. The decline is attributed to asset impairment losses and reduced non-operating income [4][5]. - In Q1 2025, the company showed signs of recovery with revenue of 2.93 billion yuan, up 21.5% year-on-year, and net profit of 250 million yuan, up 35.1% year-on-year [4]. - The company is focusing on optimizing its energy assets and expanding its energy service business, particularly in energy efficiency and trading services, which saw significant growth in 2024 [6]. Financial Performance Summary - The company’s revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 10.02 billion yuan, 10.55 billion yuan, and 11.07 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to be 900 million yuan, 1 billion yuan, and 1.1 billion yuan [7][11]. - The company’s gross margin and net margin for Q1 2025 were 23.3% and 10.2%, respectively, showing improvements due to a decrease in various expense ratios [5]. - The company’s total installed capacity reached 5,871.01 MW by the end of 2024, with a diverse portfolio including thermal, solar, wind, and energy storage projects [5][6].