TCL TECH.(SZ:000100) HUAXI Securities·2025-05-08 02:25Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for TCL Technology [1] Core Views - The performance of the panel industry is expected to benefit from the continuous improvement in supply-demand dynamics, with TCL Zhonghuan anticipated to recover in 2025 after experiencing significant declines in 2024 due to industry cycle fluctuations [8] - The report adjusts revenue forecasts for TCL Technology for 2025-2027, estimating revenues of 193.99 billion, 227.59 billion, and 269.40 billion yuan respectively, with EPS adjusted to 0.32, 0.45, and 0.62 yuan [8] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, TCL Technology achieved total revenue of 164.96 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.44%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.56 billion yuan, down 29.38% [2] - For Q1 2025, the company reported total revenue of 40.12 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.43%, and a net profit of 1.01 billion yuan, a significant increase of 321.96% [2] - The semiconductor display business reached a record high revenue of 104.3 billion yuan in 2024, growing by 25% year-on-year, with a net profit of 6.23 billion yuan, an increase of 62.4 billion yuan compared to 2023 [2] Business Segment Insights - The large-size TV panel market continues to grow, with the share of 55-inch and above panels increasing to 82% and 65-inch and above to 56% in 2024 [3] - TCL Technology's market share in the TV panel sector remains among the top two globally, with the company holding the largest share in 55-inch, 65-inch, and 75-inch segments [3] - The small-size segment focuses on high-end markets, with flexible OLED shipments significantly increasing, and the company achieving the second-largest global market share in LTPS mobile panels [5] Future Outlook - The overall trend for 2025 appears positive, with expectations for continued growth in demand for larger TV sizes and stable supply-side conditions [4] - The company is actively pursuing R&D in new technologies, including printed OLED and Micro-LED, and has completed acquisitions to enhance its display technology matrix [6]