Western Mining(SH:601168) Guotou Securities·2025-05-08 03:34Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a 6-month target price of 22.5 CNY [5]. Core Views - The company maintains a high dividend level and emphasizes the progress of the Yulong Copper Mine Phase III expansion [8]. - The company achieved a revenue of 50.03 billion CNY in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 17%, and a net profit of 2.93 billion CNY, up 5% year-on-year [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 16.54 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 51%, and a net profit of 808 million CNY, up 10% year-on-year [1]. Production and Performance Summary - In 2024, the company exceeded its copper production target with a total of 177,543 tons, a 35% increase year-on-year, and a completion rate of 112% [2]. - The average copper price in 2024 was 74,932 CNY/ton, reflecting a 9.7% year-on-year increase [2]. - The company plans to produce 168,208 tons of copper in 2025, with a slight year-on-year increase [4]. Financial Forecast - The company aims to achieve total revenue of 55 billion CNY and a total profit of 5 billion CNY in 2025 [8]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 61.29 billion CNY, 63.08 billion CNY, and 65.70 billion CNY, respectively, with net profits of 3.57 billion CNY, 3.87 billion CNY, and 4.10 billion CNY [9]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are 1.50 CNY, 1.62 CNY, and 1.72 CNY, respectively [9]. Production Plans - The company plans to increase its lead and zinc production in 2025, with a target of 65,672 tons of lead and 124,581 tons of zinc, both showing year-on-year growth [4]. - The Yulong Copper Mine's processing capacity has been upgraded to 22.8 million tons per year, with ongoing expansion projects [8].