Western Mining(601168) 国投证券·2025-05-08 03:50Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a 6-month target price of 22.5 CNY per share, while the current share price is 15.61 CNY [5]. Core Views - The company maintains a high dividend level, planning to distribute 10 CNY per 10 shares, totaling 23.83 billion CNY, which reflects a dividend payout ratio of 81% [8]. - The company achieved a revenue of 50.03 billion CNY in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 17%, and a net profit of 2.93 billion CNY, up 5% year-on-year [1][10]. - The company expects to achieve total revenue of 55 billion CNY in 2025, with a profit of 5 billion CNY [8]. Production and Financial Performance - In 2024, the company exceeded its copper production target, achieving 177,543 tons, a 35% increase year-on-year, and a completion rate of 112% [2][11]. - The average copper price in 2024 was 74,932 CNY per ton, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.7% [2]. - The company reported a significant increase in Q1 2025 revenue, reaching 16.54 billion CNY, a 51% year-on-year increase [1]. Future Production Plans - The company plans to increase its lead and zinc production in 2025, with expected production of 65,672 tons of lead and 124,581 tons of zinc, both showing year-on-year growth [4][11]. - The company is focusing on the expansion of the Yulong Copper Mine, with ongoing projects to increase processing capacity to 30 million tons per year [8]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts revenues of 61.29 billion CNY, 63.08 billion CNY, and 65.70 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 3.57 billion CNY, 3.87 billion CNY, and 4.10 billion CNY [9][10]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.50 CNY, 1.62 CNY, and 1.72 CNY respectively, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 10.3, 9.6, and 9.0 [9][10].