Shenergy(SH:600642) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-05-08 04:17Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 29.619 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1.64%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.944 billion yuan, up 14.04%, aligning with expectations [7] - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 0.45 yuan per share, with a payout ratio of 56.27%, resulting in a dividend yield of 5.08% based on the closing price on May 7 [7] - The report highlights a continued reduction in coal-fired power costs, leading to improved profitability, with a gross margin increase of 4.89 percentage points to 15.57% in 2024 [7] - The company’s renewable energy capacity reached 6.732 million kilowatts, accounting for 36.3% of its total installed capacity, with significant growth in wind and solar power generation [7] - The oil and gas segment showed stable gross profit growth, with revenue from oil and gas pipeline transportation increasing by 19.87% year-on-year [7] - The issuance of low-interest perpetual bonds has significantly reduced financing costs, with financial expenses decreasing by 7.4% year-on-year in 2024 and 22.3% year-on-year in Q1 2025 [7] - The profit forecast for 2025 and 2026 has been adjusted to 4.106 billion yuan and 4.313 billion yuan respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 4.520 billion yuan, maintaining a favorable price-to-earnings ratio [7] Financial Summary - The company’s total revenue is projected to be 29.776 billion yuan in 2025, with a slight year-on-year growth of 0.5% [6] - The gross margin is expected to improve to 21.0% in 2025, reflecting ongoing cost management efforts [6] - The return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to be 10.2% in 2025, indicating stable profitability [6]