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信德新材(301349):2024年报及2025年一季报点评:一季度扭亏为盈,业绩反转在即

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, with a target price of 40.30 CNY [2][7]. Core Views - The company has turned profitable in Q1 2025, indicating an imminent performance reversal after a challenging 2024 [7]. - The overall revenue for 2024 is projected at 810 million CNY, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 14.6%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be -33 million CNY, a significant drop of 180% [7]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 243 million CNY, a year-on-year increase of 80.92%, and a net profit of 7 million CNY, marking a year-on-year growth of 161.4% [7]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its market share in the negative coating materials sector through strategic collaborations and overseas market expansion [7]. Financial Summary - The total revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1,323 million CNY, 1,714 million CNY, and 2,223 million CNY, respectively, with growth rates of 63.3%, 29.6%, and 29.7% [2][8]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to recover to 63 million CNY in 2025, 103 million CNY in 2026, and 149 million CNY in 2027, with respective growth rates of 292.1%, 61.9%, and 44.8% [2][8]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to improve from -0.32 CNY in 2024 to 0.62 CNY in 2025, 1.01 CNY in 2026, and 1.46 CNY in 2027 [2][8]. Market Position and Strategy - The company has a total capacity of 70,000 tons, with 40,000 tons located in the northern base and 30,000 tons in the southern base, and is actively pursuing new capacity projects [7]. - The company aims to strengthen its existing customer relationships while also targeting new clients in overseas markets to enhance its competitive position in the negative coating materials industry [7].