SANY(600031) 银河证券·2025-05-08 05:58Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Neutral" rating for the company, indicating that the expected performance is within a range of -5% to 5% relative to the benchmark index [12]. Core Insights - The company is projected to achieve a revenue of 77.77 billion yuan in 2024, with a growth rate of 6.22%, and is expected to reach 113.39 billion yuan by 2027, with a growth rate of 11.31% [2][8]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to grow from 5.98 billion yuan in 2024 to 12.70 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 20.76% [2][8]. - The gross margin is expected to improve from 26.43% in 2024 to 29.18% in 2027, indicating enhanced operational efficiency [2][8]. Financial Summary Income Statement - Revenue is projected to grow from 77.77 billion yuan in 2024 to 113.39 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 6.22%, 14.38%, 14.52%, and 11.31% for the respective years [2][8]. - The net profit is expected to increase from 6.09 billion yuan in 2024 to 12.94 billion yuan in 2027, with profit growth rates of 31.98%, 39.72%, 25.97%, and 20.76% [2][8]. - The EBITDA is forecasted to rise from 10.08 billion yuan in 2024 to 18.80 billion yuan in 2027 [8]. Balance Sheet - Total assets are projected to grow from 152.15 billion yuan in 2024 to 184.22 billion yuan in 2027, while total liabilities are expected to increase from 79.14 billion yuan to 92.39 billion yuan over the same period [7]. - The company's equity attributable to shareholders is expected to rise from 71.95 billion yuan in 2024 to 90.18 billion yuan in 2027 [7]. Cash Flow Statement - Operating cash flow is projected to be 14.81 billion yuan in 2024, increasing to 17.12 billion yuan by 2027 [7]. - The net increase in cash is expected to be 3.43 billion yuan in 2024, with a gradual decrease to 4.33 billion yuan in 2027 [7]. Key Financial Ratios - The company’s P/E ratio is expected to decrease from 27.91 in 2024 to 13.13 in 2027, indicating a potentially more attractive valuation over time [8]. - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to improve from 8.30% in 2024 to 14.08% in 2027, reflecting better profitability [8].