AECC AP(600893) Changjiang Securities·2025-05-08 09:46Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 6.165 billion in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 1.71% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 71.88%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 0.08 billion, down 95.15% year-on-year and down 94.4% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 0.19 billion, a decrease of 81.7% year-on-year and 82.25% quarter-on-quarter [2][6]. - The revenue situation in Q1 aligns with the annual guidance expectations, with a sales structure change causing short-term profit fluctuations. The gross profit margin for Q1 was 9.77%, a decrease of 1.87 percentage points year-on-year, but an increase of 2.06 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [10]. - The company experienced a significant improvement in operating cash flow due to increased sales collections, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 2.063 billion in Q1, showing marked improvement compared to the previous year [10]. - The company’s inventory balance at the end of Q1 was 37.247 billion, an increase of 17.5% compared to the beginning of the period, indicating a wait for further demand recovery [10]. - Profit forecasts for the company indicate expected net profits attributable to the parent company of 0.762 billion, 0.990 billion, and 1.323 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of -11%, 30%, and 34% [10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue was 61.65 billion, a decrease of 1.71% year-on-year and 71.88% quarter-on-quarter. Net profit attributable to the parent company was 0.08 billion, down 95.15% year-on-year and 94.4% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 0.19 billion, a decrease of 81.7% year-on-year and 82.25% quarter-on-quarter [2][6]. Cash Flow and Financial Health - The company’s operating cash flow improved significantly, with a net cash flow of 20.63 billion in Q1, reflecting better sales collections. The financial expense ratio was 1.88%, up 0.94 percentage points year-on-year and 1.16 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [10]. Inventory and Contracts - The inventory balance at the end of Q1 was 37.247 billion, up 17.5% from the beginning of the period. The contract liabilities increased significantly, indicating a robust order book [10]. Profit Forecasts - Expected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected at 0.762 billion, 0.990 billion, and 1.323 billion respectively, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of -11%, 30%, and 34% [10].