①知情人士透露，估值飙升至8000亿-1.5万亿美元的SpaceX告知员工，公司将进入一段监管静默期，标 志着离IPO又近了一步。 ②国内商业航天同样产业动态不断，与攻关火箭回收技术相关的的天龙三号、长征十二号甲进入首飞准 备阶段、中航成飞公告投建4.2亿空天装备装配基地，夯实国防装备生产能力；"千帆星座"与"GW星 座"加速组网；电科蓝天科创板IPO在即。 ③ 深圳低空经济产业协会发布两项团体标准，加快构建低空经济基础规则。 格隆汇12月18日｜今日商业航天板块逆势上攻，成份股北摩高科、中国卫星涨停，航空航天ETF天弘 (159241)跟踪指数上涨2.15%，盘中一度涨超3%，拉出一根长阳线，反包昨日跌幅，11月14日以来累计 上涨11%，再创阶段新高。 航空航天ETF天弘(159241)标的指数是全市场军工含量最高、"含航量"的最高的军工指数，"航空装备 +航天装备"权重合计超67%，与低空经济、大飞机、卫星互联网等热门主题高度契合，受益于国防军工 发展与航空航天技术突破，权重股包括航发动力、中航沈飞、中航成飞等央企龙头企业。 消息面上： 华西证券指出，当前全球商业航天发射领域正在发生深刻的成本重构。中国 ...

机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，航发动力十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第四大流 通股东，持股3583.89万股，相比上期减少3762.36万股。富国中证军工龙头ETF（512710）位居第七大 流通股东，持股3011.21万股，相比上期增加453.42万股。华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF（510300）位居第八大 流通股东，持股2281.60万股，相比上期减少101.20万股。 责任编辑：小浪快报 资料显示，中国航发动力股份有限公司位于陕西省西安市未央区徐家湾，成立日期1993年12月23日，上 市日期1996年4月8日，公司主营业务涉及航空发动机制造及衍生产品的生产、民用航空发动机零部件外 贸转包生产及部分非航空产品的生产。主营业务收入构成为：航空发动机及衍生产品91.55%，外贸出 口6.17%，非航空产品及其他2.28%。 航发动力所属申万行业为：国防军工-航空装备Ⅱ-航空装备Ⅲ。所属概念板块包括：央企改革、航母产 业、大盘、融资融券、MSCI中国等。 截至10月31日，航发动力股东户数13.08万，较上期增加0.00%；人均流通股20376股，较上期增加 0.00%。2025年1月-9月， ...

Core Insights - The report identifies the main investment themes for the defense and aerospace industry in 2025 as internal equipment, military trade, and military-civilian integration, with a focus on the second growth curve as a key selection criterion for stocks [2][5][36] - For 2026, military-civilian integration and military trade are expected to remain the primary investment lines, supported by stable growth in defense spending and policy guidance [2][5] Industry Overview - The report outlines a deep review of the defense industry, highlighting that the internal equipment market, military trade, and military-civilian integration emerged as the three main investment directions in 2025 [5][21] - The investment framework has evolved from focusing solely on internal equipment to incorporating military trade and military-civilian integration, reflecting a more comprehensive understanding of the market dynamics [5][21] Policy Analysis and Internal Equipment Outlook - The report emphasizes that the integration of mechanization, information technology, and intelligence will drive future growth in internal equipment, with specific focus areas including information support forces, cyber warfare units, military aerospace, and rocket forces [6][41][46] - Recent U.S. defense policy changes, which reduced the number of key technology areas from 14 to 6, align closely with China's focus on new quality and new domain developments [6][41] Investment Strategy for 2026 - The report recommends a bottom-up approach to stock selection, emphasizing the importance of identifying stocks that excel in the second growth curve, particularly in military trade and military-civilian integration [7][36] - Specific companies are highlighted as key investment targets, including 中航沈飞 (AVIC), 广东宏大 (Guangdong Hongda), and 西部超导 (West Superconductor), which are positioned to benefit from trends in military trade and civilian applications [22][33][36] Key Investment Areas - The report identifies several promising sectors within the defense industry, including special chips, quartz electronic fabrics, aerospace electronics, high-performance power supplies, and military aviation engines, each with unique growth drivers [22][33][36] - The military trade sector is expected to see a shift towards high-end equipment exports, with 中航沈飞 (AVIC) and 广东宏大 (Guangdong Hongda) as core players [22][36] Conclusion - The report concludes that the second growth curve represents a critical opportunity for investors, with military trade and military-civilian integration likely to be the main growth drivers in the coming years [36][41]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of "globalization and AI+" in advancing high-quality development in the defense and military industry, highlighting the need for modernization and efficiency improvements in military systems [5][30][34] - The investment strategy focuses on balancing value and growth, with traditional sectors entering an S-curve evolution phase while new demands and replacements coexist [5][30] Section Summaries 1. Current Development Stage from the S-Curve Perspective - The defense and military industry is in a growth phase, with traditional sectors experiencing rapid development during the previous five-year plan, but not yet entering a slowdown [16][26] - The S-curve model indicates that the industry lifecycle includes multiple product lifecycles, with the current focus on extending product lifespans through innovation [23][24] 2. S-Curve Cycle Expansion - Global military trade remains robust, emphasizing the importance of lifecycle management from equipment to services [9][18] - The report anticipates that the demand for large aircraft and low-altitude economic activities will accelerate due to supportive policies [9][28] 3. S-Curve Cycle Evolution - Supply chain reforms are crucial for reducing costs and complexity, enhancing the focus on maintenance and repair services [9][33] - The integration of unmanned systems and intelligent technologies is expected to drive significant advancements in military capabilities [9][51] 4. New Cycle of the S-Curve: Emerging Industries - The report identifies commercial aerospace, AI, controllable nuclear fusion, quantum information, and deep-sea technology as key areas for future growth [9][57][65] - The acceleration of technological advancements and policy support is expected to unlock new market opportunities in these sectors [9][58] 5. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies that align with the evolving S-curve, particularly those involved in supply chain reform, maintenance, and unmanned systems [5][30] - Specific companies highlighted for investment include 航发动力, 中航高科, and 国睿科技, among others, which are positioned to benefit from these trends [6][9]

Investment Rating - The report rates the military industry as "Overweight" [9] Core Viewpoints - The military sector has seen an increase, with the Russian military's use of "Dagger" missiles reaching record levels. The recent joint air strategic patrol between China and Russia, along with the potential for U.S. defense spending to hit new highs, indicates a long-term positive trend for the military industry [2][7][8] Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - Key investment themes include: 1) Assembly: AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation, Aerospace South Lake, AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry [9] 2) Components: AVIC Optoelectronics, Guobo Electronics, Ruichuang Micro-Nano [9] 3) Subsystems: Aero Engine Corporation of China, AVIC Avionics, North Navigation [9] 4) Materials and Processing: Feilihua, Guangwei Composite, Huayin Technology, Western Materials, Aviation Materials [9] Market Review - The military sector index rose by 3.57%, outperforming the market by 3.92 percentage points, ranking 2nd out of 29 sectors during the week of December 8-12 [11][12] - The defense information technology sector performed particularly well, with notable stock performances including Aerospace Power and West Materials [19][20] Major News in the Military Industry - Domestic news includes the completion of nearly 200 million yuan in Series A financing by Dream Sky Technology, leading the hybrid tilt-rotor sector [22][23] - Internationally, the U.S. defense budget for fiscal year 2026 is projected to exceed 900 billion USD, with significant military aid to Ukraine [28][29]

Core Insights - The defense and aerospace industry is experiencing sustained high demand, particularly in the two aircraft sectors and commercial aerospace, which are seen as new growth drivers [2][5][13] - The report highlights the increasing frequency of commercial space launches, with companies like SpaceX targeting a valuation of $1.5 trillion as they prepare for an IPO [5][14] - Investment opportunities are identified in various sectors, including domestic demand and overseas expansion, AI-driven upgrades in military technology, and the potential for new materials and technologies in aviation and space [5][15] Industry Overview - The report notes that the demand for high-end aviation equipment is expected to continue, with significant opportunities for domestic engine replacements in the civil aviation market [23] - The commercial aerospace sector is seeing a notable increase in aircraft deliveries, with a reported 44% year-on-year growth in the delivery of wide-body aircraft as of October 2025 [5][13] - The report emphasizes the importance of strategic partnerships, such as the long-term supply agreement between Yingliu Aviation and Ansaldo Energia, which marks a shift towards large-scale collaboration [5][13] Company Analysis - Companies like AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation and AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group are highlighted for their potential to benefit from increased domestic and international demand [15][29] - The report discusses the strong growth prospects for companies involved in AI-driven military upgrades, recommending a focus on firms like Ruichuang Micro-Nano and AVIC Optoelectronics [15][18] - The financial outlook for key companies is optimistic, with projected earnings growth and favorable valuation metrics, such as a dynamic PE ratio of approximately 40X for Ruichuang Micro-Nano [18][19] Market Performance - The report indicates that the China Securities Military Industry Index has shown a weekly increase of 2.53%, with a year-to-date increase of 27.99% as of the report date [36] - The military sector has outperformed major indices, indicating strong investor interest and confidence in the defense and aerospace markets [36] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies that are well-positioned to capitalize on the expanding domestic and international markets, particularly those involved in military and aerospace technology [15][23] - Specific companies recommended for investment include AVIC Shenyang, AVIC Xi'an, and Ruichuang Micro-Nano, among others, due to their strategic positioning and growth potential [15][18][29]

作为我国自主创新的大型通用无人机平台，"九天"机长16.35米、翼展25米，最大起飞重量16吨、载荷 能力达到6吨，航时12小时、转场航程7000千米，具备大载重、高升限、宽速域、短起降等优势，性能 指标位居同类产品前列。 通过模块化任务载荷换装，"九天"无人机既能承担偏远山区、海岛的重型物资运输与精准物流投送任 务，也能在应急救援中快速恢复通信、投送救灾装备，还可提供地理测绘、矿产普查等服务，覆盖文物 勘测、海巡执法、森林灭火等多个领域。 （文章来源：人民日报） 本报北京12月11日电 （记者邱超奕）记者从航空工业集团获悉：11日，由航空工业第一飞机设计研究 院设计的"九天"无人机在陕西蒲城完成首飞任务。 此次首飞成功意味着我国大型无人机技术取得新突破，其规模化应用将为低空经济发展注入新动能。 ...

Core Insights - The defense industry is expected to experience a recovery in 2025, marking a turning point in demand, with a new round of growth anticipated as the "14th Five-Year Plan" concludes and the "15th Five-Year Plan" begins [2][8][24] - The focus on new combat capabilities, including unmanned systems, deep-sea technology, and military AI, is expected to drive significant advancements in the industry [2][8][32] - The commercial aerospace and gas turbine markets are projected to grow, driven by increased demand and recovery in the aviation sector post-pandemic [2][8][31] Group 1: Industry Overview - The defense industry has stabilized and is showing signs of recovery after a period of demand stagnation from 2023 to 2024, with revenue growth returning in 2025 [8][14] - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is anticipated to create synergies between military and civilian sectors, enhancing overall industry growth [8][29] - Geopolitical uncertainties are increasing, leading to heightened military spending globally, with defense budgets expected to continue rising [26][30] Group 2: New Combat Capabilities - New combat capabilities are expected to focus on unmanned systems, deep-sea operations, and information technology, with an emphasis on modernizing military capabilities [2][32][36] - The development of unmanned systems is seen as critical, with a growing emphasis on both offensive and defensive capabilities in modern warfare [2][43][44] - The integration of AI into military operations is expected to enhance decision-making and operational efficiency across various combat scenarios [2][32][36] Group 3: Commercial Opportunities - The commercial aerospace sector is poised for significant growth, particularly in the gas turbine market, driven by increased orders and recovery in engine deliveries [2][31][32] - The commercial space sector is also expanding, with advancements in satellite technology and launch capabilities expected to accelerate growth [2][31][32] - The military trade market is anticipated to strengthen, with Chinese equipment gaining recognition and market share in international markets, particularly in the Middle East [2][31][32]

Core Viewpoint - The successful maiden flight of the "Jiutian" drone marks a significant breakthrough in China's large drone technology, showcasing its capabilities in various applications and its advanced design features [1] Group 1: Technical Specifications - The "Jiutian" drone features a length of 16.35 meters, a wingspan of 25 meters, and a maximum takeoff weight of 16 tons, with a payload capacity of 6000 kilograms [1] - It has an endurance of 12 hours and a range of 7000 kilometers, placing its performance metrics among the top in its category [1] Group 2: Design and Innovation - The drone adopts a "general platform + modular task load" design concept, relying on independent integration technology innovations [1] - Its core advantages include high load capacity, high altitude limits, wide speed range, and short takeoff and landing capabilities [1] Group 3: Application Scenarios - The "Jiutian" drone can be widely adapted for various civilian scenarios, including heavy cargo transport and precise logistics delivery in remote areas and islands [1] - It is also capable of quickly restoring communication and delivering disaster relief equipment during emergency rescues, as well as providing services such as geographic surveying, disaster assessment, and mineral exploration [1] Group 4: Development and Design Collaboration - The "Jiutian" drone is designed by the Aviation Industry First Aircraft Design Institute, commissioned by Shaanxi Unmanned Equipment Technology Co., Ltd [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company emphasizes the complexity and high production difficulty of aircraft engines, which are considered a capital-intensive industry and a crucial part of modern industrial technology [2] Company Summary - The company is continuously adjusting its product structure and increasing R&D investment to enhance the maturity of its manufacturing processes [2] - The company has established a shareholder return plan for the next three years (2025-2027) to ensure continuity and stability in profit distribution, taking into account industry characteristics and sustainable development [2] - Since its listing, the company has maintained a cash dividend ratio exceeding 30% of its net profit [2]